WON
Result: Netherlands W 3-1 Poland W
DirectWinPredict Euro WCQ Women Netherlands W vs Poland W
N

Netherlands W

Home Side
L D W W D
5W 3D 2L
VS
3-1
Euro WCQ Women
P
Poland W
Away Side
L L L L D
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Netherlands W to win — Tuesday, 9th June 2026
Best Odds 1.14
Confidence 48%
Implied Prob 87.7%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Netherlands W to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
87.7%
Based on 1.14 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-39.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Netherlands W
2
Draws
1
Poland W
4
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Against Pick Netherlands W won 1 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Netherlands W
Metric
Poland W
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
N0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.8%) 1-0 (6.5%) 2-0 (5.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Netherlands W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Poland W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Netherlands W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands2
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands0
11.04.23FI
Netherlands W4
Poland1
04.03.19ALG
Netherlands W0
Poland1
Recent Form
Netherlands W
05.06.26WC
Ireland W3
Netherlands W2
L
18.04.26WC
France W1
Netherlands W1
D
14.04.26WC
Netherlands W2
France W1
W
07.03.26WC
Netherlands W2
Ireland W1
W
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Netherlands W5
South Korea W0
W
28.11.25FI
Portugal W1
Netherlands W2
W
28.10.25FI
Netherlands W1
Canada W0
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
13.07.25EUR
Netherlands W2
France W5
L
Poland W
05.06.26WC
Poland W0
France W2
L
18.04.26WC
Ireland W1
Poland W0
L
14.04.26WC
Poland W2
Ireland W3
L
07.03.26WC
France W4
Poland W1
L
03.03.26WC
Poland W2
Netherlands W2
D
02.12.25FI
Poland W3
Latvia W0
W
28.11.25FI
Poland W1
Slovenia W0
W
28.10.25FI
Wales W2
Poland W5
W
24.10.25FI
Poland W0
Netherlands W0
D
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Netherlands W host Poland W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Netherlands W to win as the standout selection.

Netherlands W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Poland W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Netherlands W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Poland W's 1, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: netherlands w to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro WCQ Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.14 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands W vs Poland W?
Our selection is 1 — Netherlands W to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Netherlands W's current form?
Netherlands W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Poland W been performing recently?
Poland W have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Netherlands W lead with 1 wins versus Poland W's 1, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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