WON
Result: Netherlands 2-1 Uzbekistan
DirectWinPredict International Friendly Netherlands vs Uzbekistan
N

Netherlands

Home Side
L D W W D
6W 3D 1L
VS
2-1
International Friendly
U
Uzbekistan
Away Side
L W W W D
5W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Netherlands to win — Monday, 8th June 2026
Best Odds 1.24
Confidence 60%
Implied Prob 80.6%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Netherlands to win
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals89%
Implied Prob
80.6%
Based on 1.24 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Netherlands
Metric
Uzbekistan
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
38%
6-3-1
W — D — L
5-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
60%
63%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
N0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
N2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
N3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
N4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-0 (7.6%) 2-0 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   U=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Netherlands Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Uzbekistan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Netherlands
Overall
6.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.7
Uzbekistan
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Netherlands
03.06.26FI
Netherlands0
Algeria1
L
31.03.26FI
Netherlands1
Ecuador1
D
27.03.26FI
Netherlands2
Norway1
W
17.11.25WC
Netherlands4
Lithuania0
W
14.11.25WC
Poland1
Netherlands1
D
12.10.25WC
Netherlands4
Finland0
W
09.10.25WC
Malta0
Netherlands4
W
07.09.25WC
Lithuania2
Netherlands3
W
04.09.25WC
Netherlands1
Poland1
D
10.06.25WC
Netherlands8
Malta0
W
Uzbekistan
02.06.26FI
Canada2
Uzbekistan0
L
27.03.26FS
Uzbekistan3
Gabon1
W
30.01.26FI
Uzbekistan4
Urartu2
W
26.01.26FI
Uzbekistan2
China2
D
14.11.25FI
Uzbekistan2
Egypt0
W
13.10.25FI
Uzbekistan1
Uruguay2
L
09.10.25FI
Uzbekistan2
Kuwait0
W
08.09.25CAC
Uzbekistan1
Iran0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 8th June 2026, Netherlands host Uzbekistan in International Friendly. We recommend Netherlands to win as the standout selection.

Netherlands arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Uzbekistan are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 2L across 8 matches.

Our verdict: netherlands to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.24 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Netherlands vs Uzbekistan?
Our selection is 1 — Netherlands to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Netherlands's current form?
Netherlands have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Uzbekistan been performing recently?
Uzbekistan have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
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