WON
Result: France 3-1 Northern Ireland
DirectWinPredict International Friendly France vs Northern Ireland
F

France

Home Side
L W W W W
8W 1D 1L
VS
3-1
International Friendly
N
Northern Ireland
Away Side
W D L W L
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing France to win — Monday, 8th June 2026
Best Odds 1.14
Confidence 74%
Implied Prob 87.7%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
3
France
0
Draws
0
Northern Ireland
3
Meetings
33%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick France won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
France
Metric
Northern Ireland
2.4
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
80%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
F0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.9%) 2-0 (10.6%) 2-1 (9.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
France Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Northern Ireland Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
France
Overall
8.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
7.3
Northern Ireland
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.08.99FI
Northern Ireland0
France1
04.07.82WC
France4
Northern Ireland1
19.06.58WC
France4
Northern Ireland0
Recent Form
France
04.06.26FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
L
29.03.26FI
Colombia1
France3
W
26.03.26FI
Brazil1
France2
W
16.11.25WC
Azerbaijan1
France3
W
13.11.25WC
France4
Ukraine0
W
13.10.25WC
Iceland2
France2
D
10.10.25WC
France3
Azerbaijan0
W
09.09.25WC
France2
Iceland1
W
05.09.25WC
Ukraine0
France2
W
08.06.25UNL
Germany0
France2
W
Northern Ireland
04.06.26FI
Northern Ireland1
Guinea0
W
31.03.26FI
Wales1
Northern Ireland1
D
26.03.26WC
Italy2
Northern Ireland0
L
17.11.25WC
Northern Ireland1
Luxembourg0
W
14.11.25WC
Slovakia1
Northern Ireland0
L
13.10.25WC
Northern Ireland0
Germany1
L
10.10.25WC
Northern Ireland2
Slovakia0
W
07.09.25WC
Germany3
Northern Ireland1
L
04.09.25WC
Luxembourg1
Northern Ireland3
W
10.06.25FI
Northern Ireland1
Iceland0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 8th June 2026, France host Northern Ireland in International Friendly. We recommend France to win as the standout selection.

France arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Northern Ireland are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour France, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Northern Ireland's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: france to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.14 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for France vs Northern Ireland?
Our selection is 1 — France to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is France's current form?
France have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Northern Ireland been performing recently?
Northern Ireland have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
France lead with 3 wins versus Northern Ireland's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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