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Result: Italy U21 1-0 Albania U21
DirectWinPredict โ€บ International Friendlyโ€บ Italy U21 vs Albania U21
I

Italy U21

Home Side
W W W L W
4W 1D 5L
VS
1-0
International Friendly
A
Albania U21
Away Side
D W W W W
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals โ€” Monday, 8th June 2026
Best Odds 1.47
Confidence 72%
Implied Prob 68%
โšก Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
68%
Based on 1.47 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+4%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
12.4%
Suggested % of bankroll
โš” Head to Head Record
3
Italy U21
1
Draws
0
Albania U21
4
Meetings
25%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Italy U21
Metric
Albania U21
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
4-1-5
W โ€” D โ€” L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
50%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
I0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
I1
1-0 7.9%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.4%
I2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
I3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
I4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
I5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.4%) 2-1 (8.5%) 1-2 (8.3%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท I=Home goals โ†“   A=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Italy U21
Overall
4.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
4.3 โ–ผ
Albania U21
Overall
5.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
4.0 โ–ผ
Defence
6.7 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
11.09.18FI
Italy U213
Albania U211
10.08.16FI
Italy U210
Albania U210
11.09.07EUR
Albania U210
Italy U211
01.06.07EUR
Italy U214
Albania U210
Recent Form
Italy U21
31.03.26EUR
Italy U210
Sweden U214
W
26.03.26EUR
Italy U214
North Macedonia U210
W
18.11.25EUR
Italy U211
Montenegro U214
W
14.11.25EUR
Poland U212
Italy U211
L
14.10.25EUR
Italy U215
Armenia U211
W
10.10.25EUR
Italy U214
Sweden U210
W
09.09.25EUR
Italy U210
North Macedonia U211
W
05.09.25EUR
Italy U212
Montenegro U211
W
22.06.25EUR
Germany U213
Italy U212
L
17.06.25EUR
Spain U211
Italy U211
D
Albania U21
05.06.26FI
Slovenia U211
Albania U211
D
30.03.26FI
Albania U213
Uzbekistan U232
W
17.11.25FI
Albania U212
Ukraine U210
W
13.11.25FI
Moldova U210
Albania U211
W
10.10.25FI
Albania U212
San Marino U210
W
08.09.25FI
Switzerland U212
Albania U211
L
05.09.25FI
Albania U210
Germany U212
L
08.06.25FI
Turkey U211
Albania U210
L
05.06.25FI
Hungary U211
Albania U212
W
25.03.25FI
Luxembourg U211
Albania U210
L
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 8th June 2026, Italy U21 host Albania U21 in International Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Italy U21 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Albania U21 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Italy U21, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Albania U21's 0, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.47 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this International Friendly game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.47 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Italy U21 vs Albania U21?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Italy U21's current form?
Italy U21 have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Albania U21 been performing recently?
Albania U21 have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Italy U21 lead with 3 wins versus Albania U21's 0, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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