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Result: MTK Budapest 0-2 Paks

MTK Budapest

Q: What is the recommended bet for MTK Budapest vs Paks?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 82%.

Home Side

D D D L D

2W 4D 4L

0-2

Hungary NB 1

Paks

Away Side

D D L L L

1W 2D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Friday, 20th March 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 82%

Implied Prob 72.5%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.38

Over 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — Yes75%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+9.5%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

34.6%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

MTK Budapest

Draws

Paks

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

MTK Budapest

Metric

Paks

1.4

Goals For / Game

1.1

1.9

Goals Against / Game

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

2-4-4

W — D — L

1-2-7

Win Rate Comparison

20%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.1%

0-1 6.1%

0-2 4.6%

0-3 2.3%

0-4 0.9%

0-5 0.3%

1-0 6.9%

1-1 10.4%

1-2 7.8%

1-3 3.9%

1-4 1.5%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 5.9%

2-1 8.8%

2-2 6.6%

2-3 3.3%

2-4 1.2%

2-5 0.4%

3-0 3.3%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 3.8%

3-3 1.9%

3-4 0.7%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 1.4%

4-1 2.1%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.4%) 2-1 (8.8%) 1-2 (7.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ P=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

MTK Budapest

Overall

3.2 ▲

Scoring

4.7 ▲

Defence

3.7 ▲

Paks

Overall

1.6 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

3.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Home Win & BTTS No 8%

Draw & BTTS Yes 38%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 4%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 21%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 33%

Draw & Under 2.5 18%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 6%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

06.12.25

NBI: Paksi FC3

MTK Budapest1

24.08.25

NBI: MTK Budapest2

Paksi FC3

11.04.25

NBI: MTK Budapest1

Paksi FC2

07.12.24

NBI: Paksi FC4

MTK Budapest2

03.12.24

NBI: MTK Budapest3

Paksi FC1

03.03.24

NBI: MTK Budapest0

Paksi FC2

05.11.23

NBI: Paksi FC0

MTK Budapest0

28.07.23

NBI: MTK Budapest1

Paksi FC1

16.04.22

NBI: Paksi FC4

MTK Budapest0

18.12.21

NBI: MTK Budapest1

Paksi FC4

Recent Form

MTK Budapest

13.03.26

NBI: ETO Győr0

MTK Budapest0

08.03.26

NBI: MTK Budapest1

DVTK1

27.02.26

NBI: Debrecen2

MTK Budapest2

23.02.26

NBI: MTK Budapest1

Ferencváros3

14.02.26

NBI: MTK Budapest2

Puskás Academy2

11.02.26

HC: MTK Budapest1

Kecskeméti TE2

08.02.26

NBI: Nyíregyháza4

MTK Budapest2

31.01.26

NBI: MTK Budapest1

Kazincbarcika3

24.01.26

NBI: Kisvárda2

MTK Budapest3

17.01.26

CF: MTK Budapest1

Ajka0

Paks

14.03.26

NBI: Paksi FC1

Zalaegerszegi1

07.03.26

NBI: Újpest0

Paksi FC0

28.02.26

NBI: Kisvárda2

Paksi FC1

22.02.26

NBI: Paksi FC3

ETO Győr4

14.02.26

NBI: Paksi FC1

DVTK2

11.02.26

HC: Paksi FC2

DVTK6

07.02.26

NBI: Debrecen1

Paksi FC0

01.02.26

NBI: Paksi FC0

Ferencváros1

24.01.26

NBI: Puskás Academy1

Paksi FC2

16.01.26

CF: Widzew Łódź2

Paksi FC1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Hungary NB 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for MTK Budapest vs Paks?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 82%.

What is MTK Budapest's current form?

MTK Budapest have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Paks been performing recently?

Paks have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

MTK Budapest lead with 1 wins versus Paks's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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