WON

Result: MC Alger 2-1 Khenchela

MC Alger

Home Side

W W L D L

2W 1D 2L

2-1

Algeria Ligue 1

Khenchela

Away Side

W L L W D

2W 1D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing MC Alger to win — Tuesday, 17th March 2026

Best Odds 1.29

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 77.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — MC Alger to win

1.29

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% MC Alger Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

77.5%

Based on 1.29 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-27.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

MC Alger

Draws

Khenchela

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

40%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick MC Alger won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

MC Alger

Metric

Khenchela

Goals For / Game

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.6

60%

Clean Sheet %

2-1-2

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 5.9%

0-2 3.8%

0-3 1.7%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 8.1%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 6.9%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.3%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.7%

3-3 1.6%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.0%

4-1 2.6%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ K=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

MC Alger Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Khenchela Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

MC Alger

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

6.7 —

Khenchela

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 16%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Away Win & BTTS No 16%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 28%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 6%

Away Win & Over 2.5 28%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

13.12.25

CUP: MC Alger2

Khenchela1

30.10.25

DIV: Khenchela0

MC Alger1

15.03.25

DIV: MC Alger2

Khenchela2

18.10.24

DIV: Khenchela0

MC Alger1

11.05.24

DIV: Khenchela1

MC Alger1

Recent Form

MC Alger

13.03.26

DIV: Paradou AC0

MC Alger2

07.03.26

DIV: ES Mostaganem0

MC Alger5

03.03.26

CUP: CR Belouizdad3

MC Alger2

26.02.26

DIV: MC Alger0

JS Kabylie0

20.02.26

DIV: MC Oran2

MC Alger1

Khenchela

13.03.26

DIV: Khenchela2

Kabylie1

06.03.26

DIV: Oran2

Khenchela1

28.02.26

DIV: Khenchela0

Olympique Akbou1

21.02.26

DIV: Ben Aknoun2

Khenchela3

04.02.26

DIV: Khenchela2

ASO Chlef2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 17th March 2026, MC Alger host Khenchela in Algeria Ligue 1. We recommend MC Alger to win as the standout selection.

MC Alger arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Khenchela are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour MC Alger, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Khenchela's 0, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: mc alger to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

MC Alger is currently enjoying a historic run in the Algerian Ligue 1, sitting comfortably at the top of the table. Their home record is incredible; they are unbeaten in their last 20 matches at the Ali La Pointe Stadium. Defensively, they are a wall, conceding less than half a goal per game on average this season.

USM Khenchela, while a decent side, has struggled to find the net against top-tier opposition. With MC Alger winning eight of their last nine home league games and having a superior H2H record against Khenchela, a home win for the “Mouloudia” is highly anticipated.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for MC Alger vs Khenchela?

Our selection is 1 — MC Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is MC Alger's current form?

MC Alger have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Khenchela been performing recently?

Khenchela have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

MC Alger lead with 3 wins versus Khenchela's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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