WON
Result:
MC Alger 2-1 Khenchela
M
MC Alger
Home Side
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L
VS
2-1
K
Khenchela
Away Side
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing MC Alger to win — Tuesday, 17th March 2026
Best Odds
1.29
Confidence
50%
Implied Prob
77.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — MC Alger to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
MC Alger Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-27.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
MC Alger
2
Draws
0
Khenchela
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
MC Alger won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
MC Alger
Metric
Khenchela
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheet %
0%
2-1-2
W — D — L
2-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
M0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
3.8%
0-3
1.7%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
M1
1-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
1-3
3.0%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.3%
M2
2-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
M3
3-0
4.4%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
M4
4-0
2.0%
4-1
2.6%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
M5
5-0
0.7%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
2-1 (9.5%)
1-0 (8.1%)
2-0 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓ K=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
MC Alger Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Khenchela Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
28%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
28%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
CUP: MC Alger2
Khenchela1
DIV: Khenchela0
MC Alger1
DIV: MC Alger2
Khenchela2
DIV: Khenchela0
MC Alger1
DIV: Khenchela1
MC Alger1
Recent Form
MC Alger
DIV: Paradou AC0
MC Alger2
DIV: ES Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
CUP: CR Belouizdad3
MC Alger2
DIV: MC Alger0
JS Kabylie0
DIV: MC Oran2
MC Alger1
Khenchela
DIV: Khenchela2
Kabylie1
DIV: Oran2
Khenchela1
DIV: Khenchela0
Olympique Akbou1
DIV: Ben Aknoun2
Khenchela3
DIV: Khenchela2
ASO Chlef2
Match Analysis
Writeup
MC Alger is currently enjoying a historic run in the Algerian Ligue 1, sitting comfortably at the top of the table. Their home record is incredible; they are unbeaten in their last 20 matches at the Ali La Pointe Stadium. Defensively, they are a wall, conceding less than half a goal per game on average this season.
USM Khenchela, while a decent side, has struggled to find the net against top-tier opposition. With MC Alger winning eight of their last nine home league games and having a superior H2H record against Khenchela, a home win for the “Mouloudia” is highly anticipated.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for MC Alger vs Khenchela?
Our selection is 1 — MC Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is MC Alger's current form?
MC Alger have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Khenchela been performing recently?
Khenchela have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
MC Alger lead with 3 wins versus Khenchela's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.