WON
Result:
Fenerbahce 4-1 Gaziantep
F
Fenerbahce
Home Side
L
W
W
D
W
4W 0D 1L
VS
4-1
G
Gaziantep
Away Side
W
D
L
D
L
1W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Fenerbahce to win — Tuesday, 17th March 2026
Best Odds
1.26
Confidence
77%
Implied Prob
79.4%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Fenerbahce to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
79.4%
Based on 1.26 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-2.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
5
Fenerbahce
0
Draws
0
Gaziantep
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Fenerbahce won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Fenerbahce
Metric
Gaziantep
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-0-1
W — D — L
1-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
F0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
4.4%
0-3
1.8%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
F1
1-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
F2
2-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
F3
3-0
4.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
3.0%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
F4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
F5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (9.7%)
2-1 (9.3%)
2-0 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ G=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
47%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
47%
Home Win & Under 2.5
20%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
5%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
5%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
CUP: Gaziantep0
Fenerbahce4
SL: Gaziantep0
Fenerbahce4
SL: Gaziantep1
Fenerbahce3
CUP: Gaziantep1
Fenerbahce4
SL: Fenerbahce3
Gaziantep1
Recent Form
Fenerbahce
SL: Karagumruk2
Fenerbahce0
SL: Fenerbahce2
Karagumruk1
SL: Karagumruk1
Fenerbahce2
SL: Fenerbahce2
Karagumruk1
SL: Karagumruk1
Fenerbahce2
Gaziantep
SL: Antalyaspor1
Gaziantep4
SL: Gaziantep1
Karagumruk1
CUP: Gaziantep0
Fenerbahce4
SL: Samsunspor0
Gaziantep0
SL: Gaziantep1
Trabzonspor2
Match Analysis
Writeup
Fenerbahce remains a powerhouse in the Turkish Super Lig, and their record against Gaziantep at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium is nothing short of perfect.
They have won all seven of their most recent home encounters against the Falcons, maintaining a goal difference of 22-5. Currently sitting near the top of the league, Fenerbahce’s defensive discipline has been a highlight, often keeping clean sheets against bottom-half sides.
Gaziantep has struggled for consistency away from home, and breaking down a Fener backline that allows very few chances will be a tall order. Expect the Istanbul giants to dominate possession and claim all three points.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Gaziantep?
Our selection is 1 — Fenerbahce to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Gaziantep been performing recently?
Gaziantep have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fenerbahce lead with 5 wins versus Gaziantep's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.