WON
Result:
Den Haag 1-0 Jong Utrecht
D
Den Haag
Home Side
W
L
W
W
W
4W 0D 1L
VS
1-0
J
Jong Utrecht
Away Side
W
L
L
L
L
1W 0D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Den Haag to win — Tuesday, 17th March 2026
Best Odds
1.30
Confidence
57%
Implied Prob
76.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Den Haag to win
1.30
Under 2.5 Goals80%
BTTS — No80%
Den Haag Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-19.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
2
Den Haag
3
Draws
0
Jong Utrecht
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Against Pick
Den Haag won 2 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Den Haag
Metric
Jong Utrecht
1.2
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
4-0-1
W — D — L
1-0-4
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
D0
0-0
18.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
2.3%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
D1
1-0
21.9%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
2.7%
1-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
D2
2-0
13.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
D3
3-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
D4
4-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
D5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (21.9%)
2-0 (13.2%)
2-1 (6.6%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ J=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Den Haag Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Jong Utrecht Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
16%
Home Win & BTTS No
64%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
4%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
16%
Home Win & Under 2.5
64%
Draw & Over 2.5
0%
Draw & Under 2.5
0%
Away Win & Over 2.5
4%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
EER: Jong Utrecht2
Den Haag2
EER: Jong Utrecht1
Den Haag1
EER: Den Haag1
Jong Utrecht1
EER: Jong Utrecht0
Den Haag2
EER: Den Haag6
Jong Utrecht0
Recent Form
Den Haag
EER: FC Emmen0
Den Haag1
EER: Almere City1
Den Haag0
EER: Den Haag1
VVV-Venlo0
EER: Willem II0
Den Haag1
EER: Helmond Sport1
Den Haag3
Jong Utrecht
EER: Jong Utrecht1
Helmond Sport0
EER: Cambuur1
Jong Utrecht0
EER: FC Emmen1
Jong Utrecht0
EER: Jong Utrecht2
Almere City3
EER: De Graafschap1
Jong Utrecht0
Match Analysis
Writeup
ADO Den Haag enters this fixture as the clear favorite, sitting at the top of the Eerste Divisie table. With 71 points from 31 matches, they have been the most consistent side in the league, boasting the best offensive record with 71 goals scored.
Their home form is particularly imposing, and they haven’t lost to Jong Utrecht in their last nine meetings. On the other hand, Jong Utrecht sits much further down the table in 14th place.
Although they recently managed a narrow win against Helmond Sport, their away record remains a major concern. Given Den Haag’s relentless pursuit of promotion and their historical upper hand, a home victory is the most logical outcome here.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Den Haag vs Jong Utrecht?
Our selection is 1 — Den Haag to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Den Haag's current form?
Den Haag have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Jong Utrecht been performing recently?
Jong Utrecht have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Den Haag lead with 2 wins versus Jong Utrecht's 0, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.