WON
Result: Llaneros W 1-4 Santa Fe W
DirectWinPredict Colombia Liga Women Llaneros W vs Santa Fe W
L

Llaneros W

Home Side
D L L W L
2W 3D 5L
VS
1-4
Colombia Liga Women
S
Santa Fe W
Away Side
W W D D D
5W 4D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Santa Fe W to win — Thursday, 28th May 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 73.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Santa Fe W to win
1.36
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
73.5%
Based on 1.36 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-10.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Llaneros W
0
Draws
9
Santa Fe W
9
Meetings
44%
BTTS Rate
78%
Over 2.5
4.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Santa Fe W won 9 of 9 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Llaneros W
Metric
Santa Fe W
0.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.5
30%
Clean Sheet %
50%
2-3-5
W — D — L
5-4-1
Win Rate Comparison
20%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 18.3%
0-2 15.1%
0-3 8.3%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.1%
L1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
L2
2-0 1.7%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (18.3%) 0-2 (15.1%) 0-3 (8.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Llaneros W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Santa Fe W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Llaneros W
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.3
Santa Fe W
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 31%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.06.24LW
Llaneros W0
Santa Fe1
23.05.23LW
Santa Fe W2
Llaneros0
19.05.22LW
Santa Fe W4
Llaneros0
15.05.22LW
Llaneros W0
Santa Fe6
19.03.22LW
Llaneros W1
Santa Fe3
29.08.21LW
Santa Fe W3
Llaneros1
01.08.21LW
Llaneros W2
Santa Fe4
15.11.20LW
Llaneros W0
Santa Fe5
01.11.20LW
Santa Fe W5
Llaneros1
Recent Form
Llaneros W
22.05.26LW
Once Caldas W0
Llaneros W0
D
15.05.26LW
Llaneros W0
Dep. Cali W5
L
08.05.26LW
Inter Bogotá W2
Llaneros W0
L
01.05.26LW
Llaneros W2
Junior W1
W
23.04.26LW
Millonarios W4
Llaneros W0
L
12.04.26LW
Llaneros W2
Inter Palmira W0
W
30.03.26LW
Llaneros W0
Real Santander W0
D
25.03.26LW
Llaneros W1
Orsomarso W1
D
15.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W2
Llaneros W1
L
10.03.26LW
Llaneros W0
Fortaleza W2
L
Santa Fe W
23.05.26LW
Inter Palmira W0
Santa Fe W2
W
17.05.26LW
Santa Fe W2
Ind. Medellin W0
W
11.05.26LW
Junior W1
Santa Fe W1
D
03.05.26LW
Santa Fe W0
Millonarios W0
D
26.04.26LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Santa Fe W0
D
19.04.26LW
Santa Fe W3
Inter Bogotá W1
W
28.03.26LW
America de Cali W1
Santa Fe W2
W
23.03.26LW
Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W1
D
15.03.26LW
Orsomarso W1
Santa Fe W0
L
09.03.26LW
Santa Fe W5
Bucaramanga W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Colombia Liga Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Llaneros W vs Santa Fe W?
Our selection is 2 — Santa Fe W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Llaneros W's current form?
Llaneros W have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Santa Fe W been performing recently?
Santa Fe W have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Llaneros W lead with 0 wins versus Santa Fe W's 9, with 0 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
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