PENDING
Result: 1 — Liaoning W to win
DirectWinPredict China SL Women Liaoning W vs Changchun Dazhong W
L

Liaoning W

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
12:00 pm
China SL Women
C
Changchun Dazhong W
Away Side
D L W D W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Liaoning W to win — Sunday, 28th June 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 57%
Implied Prob 70.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Liaoning W
1
Draws
0
Changchun Dazhong W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
1.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Liaoning W won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Liaoning W
Metric
Changchun Dazhong W
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
70%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.1%) 2-1 (8.9%) 2-0 (8.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Liaoning W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Changchun Dazhong W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Liaoning W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.7
Changchun Dazhong W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
08.06.25SL
Changchun Dazhong0
Liaoning0
Recent Form
Liaoning W
24.06.26SL
Shaanxi Changan0
Liaoning1
W
19.06.26SL
Shanghai RCB1
Liaoning2
W
13.06.26SL
Liaoning3
Shandong SL0
W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang0
Liaoning1
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning3
Sichuan1
W
02.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong1
Liaoning0
L
25.04.26SL
Liaoning2
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
28.09.25SL
Beijing Beikong4
Liaoning0
L
20.09.25SL
Liaoning4
Wuhan Jiangda2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Shandong SL1
D
Changchun Dazhong W
24.06.26SL
Changchun Dazhong1
Shandong SL1
D
19.06.26SL
Beijing Beikong3
Changchun Dazhong1
L
14.06.26SL
Changchun Dazhong2
Shaanxi Changan1
W
17.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
09.05.26SL
Changchun Dazhong1
Guangxi Pingguo0
W
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
25.04.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
28.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong0
Yongchuan Chashan1
L
20.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong3
Zhejiang1
W
06.09.25SL
Changchun Dazhong3
Jiangsu Suning0
W
Liaoning W (Home)
13.06.26SL
Liaoning3
Shandong SL0
W
09.05.26SL
Liaoning3
Sichuan1
W
25.04.26SL
Liaoning2
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
20.09.25SL
Liaoning4
Wuhan Jiangda2
W
11.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Shandong SL1
D
07.09.25SL
Liaoning1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
D
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
W
23.08.25SL
Liaoning0
Jiangsu Suning1
L
02.08.25SL
Liaoning0
Shanghai RCB0
D
23.07.25SL
Liaoning1
Guangdong Meizhou0
W
Changchun Dazhong W (Away)
19.06.26SL
Beijing Beikong3
Changchun Dazhong1
L
17.05.26SL
Shanghai RCB0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
03.05.26SL
Jiangsu Suning2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
25.04.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda2
Changchun Dazhong0
L
30.08.25SL
Liaoning2
Changchun Dazhong1
L
13.08.25SL
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Changchun Dazhong2
D
27.07.25SL
Shaanxi Changan0
Changchun Dazhong0
D
23.07.25SL
Shanghai RCB1
Changchun Dazhong1
D
20.07.25SL
Yongchuan Chashan1
Changchun Dazhong2
W
11.06.25SL
Beijing Beikong0
Changchun Dazhong1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 28th June 2026, Liaoning W host Changchun Dazhong W in China SL Women. We recommend Liaoning W to win as the standout selection.

Liaoning W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Changchun Dazhong W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Liaoning W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Changchun Dazhong W's 0, with 1 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: liaoning w to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this China SL Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.42, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 12:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liaoning W vs Changchun Dazhong W?
Our selection is 1 — Liaoning W to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Liaoning W's current form?
Liaoning W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Changchun Dazhong W been performing recently?
Changchun Dazhong W have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liaoning W lead with 1 wins versus Changchun Dazhong W's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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