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Result: Kairat Almaty 1-1 Atyrau
DirectWinPredict Kazakhstan Premier League Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau
K

Kairat Almaty

Home Side
L D W D W
4W 4D 2L
VS
1-1
Kazakhstan Premier League
A
Atyrau
Away Side
D D D D W
3W 4D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kairat Almaty to win — Saturday, 13th June 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 47%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kairat Almaty to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-28.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Kairat Almaty
3
Draws
2
Atyrau
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Kairat Almaty won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Atyrau
1.3
Goals For / Game
1
1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheet %
50%
4-4-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 13.5%
0-1 13.5%
0-2 6.8%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 3.4%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.5%) 2-0 (6.8%) 2-1 (6.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kairat Almaty Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Atyrau Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kairat Almaty
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
Atyrau
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
16.04.25PL
Kairat Almaty4
Atyrau0
06.04.25PL
Atyrau1
Kairat Almaty4
10.11.24PL
Atyrau0
Kairat Almaty1
08.05.24CUP
Atyrau3
Kairat Almaty1
04.05.24PL
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau0
29.10.23PL
Atyrau0
Kairat Almaty0
07.06.23CUP
Atyrau2
Kairat Almaty1
17.05.23CUP
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau1
05.03.23PL
Kairat Almaty2
Atyrau2
09.10.22PL
Atyrau1
Kairat Almaty2
Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
L
23.05.26PL
Kairat Almaty0
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
D
17.05.26PL
Zhenis1
Kairat Almaty2
W
10.05.26PL
Ulytau1
Kairat Almaty1
D
06.05.26PL
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Kairat Almaty2
W
02.05.26PL
Ertis Pavlodar0
Kairat Almaty1
W
29.04.26CUP
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Kairat Almaty1
L
26.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Yelimay Semey2
D
18.04.26PL
Kairat Almaty2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
11.04.26PL
Tobol1
Kairat Almaty1
D
Atyrau
28.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Tobol1
D
23.05.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Atyrau0
D
17.05.26PL
Aktobe1
Atyrau1
D
09.05.26PL
Okzhetpes0
Atyrau0
D
03.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Altai0
W
29.04.26CUP
Atyrau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan2
L
26.04.26PL
FC Astana2
Atyrau1
L
19.04.26PL
Atyrau0
Kyzylzhar1
L
11.04.26PL
Atyrau2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
W
08.04.26CUP
Jas Qyran0
Atyrau4
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Kairat Almaty host Atyrau in Kazakhstan Premier League. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.

Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atyrau are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kairat Almaty, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Atyrau's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Kazakhstan Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Atyrau?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atyrau been performing recently?
Atyrau have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kairat Almaty lead with 5 wins versus Atyrau's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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