WON
Result: Holbaek 1-0 Vejgaard
DirectWinPredict Denmark 3 Division Holbaek vs Vejgaard
H

Holbaek

Home Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L
VS
1-0
Denmark 3 Division
V
Vejgaard
Away Side
W W L L L
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Holbaek to win — Saturday, 13th June 2026
Best Odds 1.12
Confidence 65%
Implied Prob 89.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Holbaek to win
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
89.3%
Based on 1.12 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-24.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Holbaek
2
Draws
2
Vejgaard
8
Meetings
63%
BTTS Rate
75%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Holbaek won 4 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Holbaek
Metric
Vejgaard
3
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheet %
30%
10-0-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
100%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
H0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 10.0%
1-1 7.5%
1-2 2.8%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 12.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.4%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 10.0%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 6.1%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 3.0%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (12.2%) 1-0 (10.0%) 3-0 (10.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   V=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Holbaek Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Vejgaard Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Holbaek
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
Vejgaard
Overall
3.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
15.11.253D
Vejgaard3
Holbaek1
11.10.253D
Holbaek2
Vejgaard2
21.10.233D
Vejgaard2
Holbaek2
30.09.233D
Holbaek2
Vejgaard0
20.06.202DIV
Holbaek3
Vejgaard2
17.06.172DIV
Vejgaard2
Holbaek1
23.04.172DIV
Holbaek3
Vejgaard0
Recent Form
Holbaek
04.06.263D
Sundby1
Holbaek5
W
30.05.263D
Holbaek2
Lyseng1
W
23.05.263D
BK Frem1
Holbaek3
W
16.05.263D
Holbaek4
Odder2
W
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
W
02.05.263D
Holbaek2
Sundby0
W
25.04.263D
Holbaek4
BK Frem1
W
18.04.263D
Lyseng0
Holbaek2
W
11.04.263D
Odder1
Holbaek4
W
06.04.263D
Bronshoj0
Holbaek2
W
Vejgaard
05.06.263D
Vejgaard2
Lyseng0
W
30.05.263D
Vejgaard2
BK Frem0
W
22.05.263D
Odder2
Vejgaard0
L
16.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Sundby1
L
09.05.263D
Vejgaard0
Holbaek2
L
02.05.263D
Lyseng2
Vejgaard1
L
26.04.263D
Vejgaard3
Odder0
W
18.04.263D
BK Frem5
Vejgaard0
L
11.04.263D
Sundby2
Vejgaard0
L
06.04.263D
Nykobing5
Vejgaard0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Holbaek host Vejgaard in Denmark 3 Division. We recommend Holbaek to win as the standout selection.

Holbaek arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vejgaard are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Holbaek, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Vejgaard's 2, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 63% of those meetings.

Our verdict: holbaek to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Denmark 3 Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.12 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Holbaek vs Vejgaard?
Our selection is 1 — Holbaek to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Holbaek's current form?
Holbaek have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vejgaard been performing recently?
Vejgaard have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Holbaek lead with 4 wins versus Vejgaard's 2, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
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