WON

Result: Flamengo SP 1-0 Paulinia FU

Flamengo SP

Home Side

5W 4D 1L

1-0

Brazil Paulista B

Paulinia FU

Away Side

2W 1D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Flamengo SP to win — Saturday, 13th June 2026

Best Odds 1.39

Confidence 41%

Implied Prob 71.9%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Flamengo SP

Draws

Paulinia FU

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Flamengo SP won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Flamengo SP

Metric

Paulinia FU

1.2

Goals For / Game

0.7

Goals Against / Game

1.5

40%

Clean Sheet %

25%

5-4-1

W — D — L

2-1-5

Win Rate Comparison

50%

25%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 11.1%

0-1 9.4%

0-2 4.0%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 15.0%

1-1 12.7%

1-2 5.4%

1-3 1.5%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.1%

2-1 8.6%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 4.5%

3-1 3.9%

3-2 1.6%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 1.3%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.4%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.0%) 2-0 (10.1%) 2-1 (8.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ P=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Flamengo SP Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Paulinia FU Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Flamengo SP

Overall

6.2 ▼

Scoring

4.0 ▼

Defence

7.7 ▼

Paulinia FU

Overall

2.9 ▲

Scoring

3.3 ▲

Defence

5.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Home Win & BTTS No 30%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 16%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 19%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 11%

Draw & Under 2.5 16%

Away Win & Over 2.5 9%

Away Win & Under 2.5 15%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

10.05.26PAU

Paulinia FU2

Flamengo SP2

Recent Form

Flamengo SP

07.06.26PAU

Paulinense0

Flamengo SP1

31.05.26PAU

Guarulhos1

Flamengo SP0

23.05.26PAU

Flamengo SP2

Votoraty SP1

16.05.26PAU

Flamengo SP2

Audax-SP1

10.05.26PAU

Paulinia FU2

Flamengo SP2

02.05.26PAU

Flamengo SP1

Paulinense0

25.04.26PAU

Flamengo SP2

Guarulhos0

18.04.26PAU

Votoraty SP1

Flamengo SP1

21.06.25PAU

Flamengo SP0

Guarulhos0

15.06.25PAU

Batatais1

Flamengo SP1

Paulinia FU

05.06.26PAU

Guarulhos1

Paulinia FU0

31.05.26PAU

Paulinia FU1

Audax-SP3

24.05.26PAU

Paulinense1

Paulinia FU0

15.05.26PAU

Votoraty SP3

Paulinia FU0

10.05.26PAU

Paulinia FU2

Flamengo SP2

03.05.26PAU

Paulinia FU3

Guarulhos0

26.04.26PAU

Audax-SP2

Paulinia FU0

19.04.26PAU

Paulinia FU2

Paulinense0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 13th June 2026, Flamengo SP host Paulinia FU in Brazil Paulista B. We recommend Flamengo SP to win as the standout selection.

Flamengo SP arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paulinia FU are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 5L across 8 matches.

Historical meetings favour Flamengo SP, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: flamengo sp to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brazil Paulista B game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Flamengo SP vs Paulinia FU?

Our selection is 1 — Flamengo SP to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 41%.

What is Flamengo SP's current form?

Flamengo SP have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Paulinia FU been performing recently?

Paulinia FU have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 8 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Flamengo SP lead with 0 wins versus Paulinia FU's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related