WON
Result: Internacional 3-2 Athletic Club
DirectWinPredict Copa Do Brasil Internacional vs Athletic Club
I

Internacional

Home Side
D W W D W
5W 4D 1L
VS
3-2
Copa Do Brasil
A
Athletic Club
Away Side
D D L L L
3W 4D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Internacional to win — Tuesday, 12th May 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Internacional to win
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Internacional
0
Draws
0
Athletic Club
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Internacional won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Internacional
Metric
Athletic Club
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
5-4-1
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate Comparison
50%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
I0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 11.7%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.7%) 2-1 (8.7%) 2-0 (7.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · I=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Internacional Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Athletic Club Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Internacional
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Athletic Club
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
Recent Form
Internacional
09.05.26SA
Coritiba2
Internacional2
D
07.05.26RGC
Brasil de Pelotas1
Internacional2
W
03.05.26SA
Internacional2
Fluminense0
W
25.04.26SA
Botafogo RJ2
Internacional2
D
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
W
19.04.26SA
Internacional1
Mirassol2
L
12.04.26SA
Internacional0
Gremio0
D
05.04.26SA
Corinthians0
Internacional1
W
01.04.26SA
Internacional1
Sao Paulo1
D
22.03.26SA
Internacional2
Chapecoense-SC0
W
Athletic Club
09.05.26SB
Athletic Club0
Cuiaba0
D
04.05.26SB
Vila Nova FC1
Athletic Club1
D
27.04.26SB
Athletic Club0
Nautico1
L
23.04.26COP
Athletic Club1
Internacional2
L
20.04.26SB
Novorizontino2
Athletic Club1
L
13.04.26SB
CRB2
Athletic Club3
W
06.04.26SB
Athletic Club1
America MG1
D
02.04.26SB
Athletic Club1
Criciuma1
D
22.03.26SB
Athletic Club2
Ponte Preta1
W
18.03.26COP
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Do Brasil game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Internacional vs Athletic Club?
Our selection is 1 — Internacional to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Internacional's current form?
Internacional have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athletic Club been performing recently?
Athletic Club have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Internacional lead with 1 wins versus Athletic Club's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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