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Result: Hadjuk Split 0-1 Osijek

Hadjuk Split

Home Side

D W W W W

6W 2D 2L

0-1

Croatia HNL

Osijek

Away Side

L W L D D

3W 2D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Hadjuk Split to win — Tuesday, 21st April 2026

Best Odds 1.37

Confidence 56%

Implied Prob 73%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Hadjuk Split

Draws

Osijek

Meetings

30%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Hadjuk Split won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Hadjuk Split

Metric

Osijek

2.1

Goals For / Game

0.7

1.1

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheet %

50%

6-2-2

W — D — L

3-2-5

Win Rate Comparison

60%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.4%

0-1 5.8%

0-2 2.6%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.8%

1-1 10.6%

1-2 4.8%

1-3 1.4%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.9%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 4.4%

2-3 1.3%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.8%

3-1 6.1%

3-2 2.7%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.1%

4-1 2.8%

4-2 1.3%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.2%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.8%) 2-0 (10.9%) 2-1 (9.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓ O=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Hadjuk Split Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Osijek Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Hadjuk Split

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

7.0 —

Defence

6.3 —

Osijek

Overall

3.6 —

Scoring

2.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 33%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 11%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Away Win & BTTS No 16%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 15%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

15.02.26

(HNL) Osijek0

Hajduk Split2

08.11.25

(HNL) Hajduk Split2

Osijek0

24.08.25

(HNL) Osijek0

Hajduk Split2

27.04.25

(HNL) Osijek2

Hajduk Split0

22.02.25

(HNL) Hajduk Split4

Osijek0

24.11.24

(HNL) Osijek2

Hajduk Split2

31.08.24

(HNL) Hajduk Split1

Osijek0

14.04.24

(HNL) Hajduk Split1

Osijek2

03.02.24

(HNL) Osijek1

Hajduk Split1

08.11.23

(HNL) Osijek0

Hajduk Split1

Recent Form

Hadjuk Split

17.04.26

(HNL) Slaven Belupo2

Hajduk Split - D2

12.04.26

(HNL) Hajduk Split1

Gorica - W0

07.04.26

(HNL) Istra 19611

Hajduk Split - W3

21.03.26

(HNL) Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split - W6

15.03.26

(HNL) Hajduk Split2

Lok. Zagreb - W1

08.03.26

(HNL) Hajduk Split1

Din. Zagreb - L3

04.03.26

(Croatian Cup) Rijeka3

Hajduk Split - L2

28.02.26

(HNL) Varaždin1

Hajduk Split - D1

22.02.26

(HNL) Hajduk Split1

Rijeka - W0

15.02.26

(HNL) Osijek0

Hajduk Split - W2

Osijek

17.04.26

(HNL) Osijek0

Varaždin - L2

12.04.26

(HNL) Rijeka0

Osijek - W2

04.04.26

(HNL) Din. Zagreb7

Osijek - L0

22.03.26

(HNL) Slaven Belupo0

Osijek - D0

14.03.26

(HNL) Osijek0

Gorica - D0

06.03.26

(HNL) Istra 19610

Osijek - W1

28.02.26

(HNL) Osijek2

Vukovar 1991 - W0

21.02.26

(HNL) Lok. Zagreb3

Osijek - L1

15.02.26

(HNL) Osijek0

Hajduk Split - L2

08.02.26

(HNL) Varaždin2

Osijek - L1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Croatia HNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.37 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Hadjuk Split vs Osijek?

Our selection is 1 — Hadjuk Split to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Hadjuk Split's current form?

Hadjuk Split have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Osijek been performing recently?

Osijek have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Hadjuk Split lead with 6 wins versus Osijek's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.

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