WON
Result: Dacia Buiucani 1-2 Sheriff Tiraspol
DirectWinPredict Moldovan Cup Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
D

Dacia Buiucani

Home Side
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L
VS
1-2
Moldovan Cup
S
Sheriff Tiraspol
Away Side
W W D W W
7W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Sheriff Tiraspol to win — Tuesday, 21st April 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Sheriff Tiraspol to win
1.31
BTTS — No65% Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-9.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Dacia Buiucani
1
Draws
9
Sheriff Tiraspol
10
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Sheriff Tiraspol won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dacia Buiucani
Metric
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.6
Goals For / Game
1.9
2.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheet %
60%
1-0-9
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
10%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
D0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 13.1%
0-2 13.4%
0-3 9.2%
0-4 4.7%
0-5 1.9%
D1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.4%
D2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 3.2%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.5%
D3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (13.4%) 0-1 (13.1%) 1-2 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dacia Buiucani Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Sheriff Tiraspol Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dacia Buiucani
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.7
Sheriff Tiraspol
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 53%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 41%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.03.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani0
04.03.26
 (Cup) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani0
30.11.25
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani0
Sheriff4
27.09.25
 (Super Liga) Sheriff1
Dacia Buiucani0
03.08.25
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani0
Sheriff2
29.09.24
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani1
Sheriff3
04.08.24
 (Super Liga) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani0
21.04.24
 (Super Liga) Sheriff3
Dacia Buiucani0
09.03.24
 (Super Liga) Sheriff1
Dacia Buiucani1
29.10.23
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani0
Sheriff4
Recent Form
Dacia Buiucani
18.04.26
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani1
Petrocub - L2
11.04.26
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani1
Balti - L2
04.04.26
 (Super Liga) Milsami1
Dacia Buiucani - L0
20.03.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani - L0
14.03.26
 (Super Liga) Zimbru3
Dacia Buiucani - L2
08.03.26
 (Super Liga) Petrocub3
Dacia Buiucani - L0
04.03.26
 (Cup) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani - L0
31.01.26
 (Friendly) Dacia Buiucani1
Olimp Comrat - W0
30.11.25
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani0
Sheriff - L4
22.11.25
 (Super Liga) Petrocub3
Dacia Buiucani - L1
Sheriff Tiraspol
18.04.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff2
Balti - W0
11.04.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff3
Milsami - W1
05.04.26
 (Super Liga) Zimbru2
Sheriff - D2
20.03.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani - W0
14.03.26
 (Super Liga) Sheriff1
Petrocub - W0
08.03.26
 (Super Liga) Balti0
Sheriff - W1
04.03.26
 (Cup) Sheriff2
Dacia Buiucani - W0
30.11.25
 (Super Liga) Dacia Buiucani0
Sheriff - W4
23.11.25
 (Super Liga) Sheriff0
Zimbru - L1
08.11.25
 (Super Liga) Petrocub4
Sheriff - L2
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Dacia Buiucani host Sheriff Tiraspol in Moldovan Cup. We recommend Sheriff Tiraspol to win as the standout selection.

Dacia Buiucani arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sheriff Tiraspol are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dacia Buiucani, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Sheriff Tiraspol's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sheriff tiraspol to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Moldovan Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our selection is 2 — Sheriff Tiraspol to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Dacia Buiucani's current form?
Dacia Buiucani have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sheriff Tiraspol been performing recently?
Sheriff Tiraspol have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dacia Buiucani lead with 0 wins versus Sheriff Tiraspol's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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