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Result: Germany W 2-0 Norway W
DirectWinPredict Euro Women WCQ Germany W vs Norway W
G

Germany W

Home Side
D W W W L
4W 3D 2L
VS
2-0
Euro Women WCQ
N
Norway W
Away Side
W W L W D
7W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Friday, 5th June 2026
Best Odds 1.53
Confidence 72%
Implied Prob 65.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.53
Germany W Clean Sheet56%
Implied Prob
65.4%
Based on 1.53 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+6.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
19.2%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Germany W
2
Draws
1
Norway W
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Germany W
Metric
Norway W
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
56%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-3-2
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
44%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
G0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
G1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
G2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
G3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
G4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.0%) 2-1 (8.8%) 1-2 (8.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Germany W
Overall
5.4
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.4
Norway W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany4
13.04.21FI
Germany W3
Norway1
07.03.20ALG
Germany W4
Norway0
29.11.16FI
Germany W1
Norway1
11.06.15WC
Germany W1
Norway1
10.03.14ALG
Norway W1
Germany3
28.07.13EUR
Germany W1
Norway0
17.07.13EUR
Germany W0
Norway1
11.03.13ALG
Germany W2
Norway0
16.06.11FI
Germany W3
Norway0
Recent Form
Germany W
18.04.26WC
Austria W0
Germany W0
D
14.04.26WC
Germany W5
Austria W1
W
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany W4
W
03.03.26WC
Germany W5
Slovenia W0
W
02.12.25UNL
Spain W3
Germany W0
L
28.11.25UNL
Germany W0
Spain W0
D
28.10.25UNL
France W2
Germany W2
D
24.10.25UNL
Germany W1
France W0
W
23.07.25EUR
Germany W0
Spain W1
L
Norway W
18.04.26WC
Slovenia W2
Norway W3
W
14.04.26WC
Norway W5
Slovenia W0
W
07.03.26WC
Norway W0
Germany W4
L
03.03.26WC
Austria W0
Norway W1
W
01.12.25FI
Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.11.25FI
Norway W3
Brazil W1
W
28.10.25FI
Norway W2
Japan W0
W
16.07.25EUR
Norway W1
Italy W2
L
10.07.25EUR
Norway W4
Iceland W3
W
06.07.25EUR
Norway W2
Finland W1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Germany W host Norway W in Euro Women WCQ. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Germany W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Norway W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Norway W's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro Women WCQ game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.53 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany W vs Norway W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Germany W's current form?
Germany W have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Norway W been performing recently?
Norway W have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany W lead with 7 wins versus Norway W's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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