PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Euro U19 Women Germany U19 W vs Austria U19 W
G

Germany U19 W

Home Side
W D W W L
7W 1D 2L
VS
7:00 pm
Euro U19 Women
A
Austria U19 W
Away Side
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 7th July 2026
Best Odds 1.46
Confidence 79%
Implied Prob 68.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
68.5%
Based on 1.46 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+10.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
33.3%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Germany U19 W
1
Draws
1
Austria U19 W
4
Meetings
75%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Germany U19 W
Metric
Austria U19 W
1.9
Goals For / Game
3.3
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.7
50%
Clean Sheet %
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 4.9%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 1.0%
G1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
G2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 6.2%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
G4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.6%) 1-2 (9.6%) 0-1 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Germany U19 W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.7
Austria U19 W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.07.23EUR
Germany U19 W6
Austria U190
14.11.22EUR
Austria U19 W2
Germany U191
09.04.19EUR
Austria U19 W2
Germany U192
25.07.16EUR
Germany U19 W3
Austria U191
Recent Form
Germany U19 W
03.07.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
Sweden U19 W0
W
30.06.26EUR
Poland U19 W1
Germany U19 W1
D
27.06.26EUR
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W0
Germany U19 W5
W
09.06.26FI
Germany U19 W1
USA U19 W0
W
05.06.26FI
Germany U19 W0
USA U19 W2
L
16.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W2
France U19 W1
W
13.04.26EUR
Germany U19 W4
Slovakia U19 W2
W
10.04.26EUR
Ireland U19 W0
Germany U19 W3
W
06.03.26FI
Italy U19 W0
Germany U19 W1
W
03.03.26FI
Germany U19 W0
Sweden U19 W1
L
Austria U19 W
04.07.26EUR
Spain U19 W2
Austria U19 W1
L
01.07.26EUR
Austria U19 W3
Switzerland U19 W1
W
28.06.26EUR
Austria U19 W3
Iceland U19 W0
W
16.04.26EUR
North Macedonia U19 W0
Austria U19 W5
W
13.04.26EUR
Norway U19 W0
Austria U19 W2
W
10.04.26EUR
Austria U19 W1
Scotland U19 W2
L
05.03.26FI
Austria U19 W2
Finland U19 W1
W
02.03.26FI
Austria U19 W3
Finland U19 W0
W
28.10.25EUR
Austria U19 W1
England U19 W1
D
25.10.25EUR
Austria U19 W12
Estonia U19 W0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Germany U19 W host Austria U19 W at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo) in Euro U19 Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Germany U19 W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Austria U19 W are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Germany U19 W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Austria U19 W's 1, with 1 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Euro U19 Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Stadion Grbavica (Sarajevo), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.46, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany U19 W vs Austria U19 W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Germany U19 W's current form?
Germany U19 W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Austria U19 W been performing recently?
Austria U19 W have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Germany U19 W lead with 2 wins versus Austria U19 W's 1, with 1 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
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