PENDING
Result: 1 — FC Sevastopol to win
DirectWinPredict Russia FNL 2 FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran
F

FC Sevastopol

Home Side
W W W D W
6W 3D 1L
VS
3:00 pm
Russia FNL 2
A
Angust Nazran
Away Side
L L L L L
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing FC Sevastopol to win — Saturday, 27th June 2026
Best Odds 1.11
Confidence 57%
Implied Prob 90.1%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FC Sevastopol to win
1.11
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
90.1%
Based on 1.11 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-33.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
FC Sevastopol
2
Draws
0
Angust Nazran
4
Meetings
25%
BTTS Rate
25%
Over 2.5
1.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data FC Sevastopol won 2 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
FC Sevastopol
Metric
Angust Nazran
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
F0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 13.6%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (20.2%) 2-0 (13.6%) 2-1 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
FC Sevastopol Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Angust Nazran Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
FC Sevastopol
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Angust Nazran
Overall
2.3
Scoring
1.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.08.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Angust Nazran0
03.05.25FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
FC Sevastopol0
07.09.24FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Angust Nazran0
11.05.24FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
FC Sevastopol2
Recent Form
FC Sevastopol
20.06.26FNL2B
Astrakhan1
FC Sevastopol2
W
13.06.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Pobeda1
W
06.06.26FNL2B
Nart Cherkessk0
FC Sevastopol1
W
30.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Maykop0
D
23.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash0
FC Sevastopol2
W
16.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
08.05.26FNL2B
Rubin Yalta1
FC Sevastopol0
L
02.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Chayka 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Shahter Taganrog0
FC Sevastopol0
D
18.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
Angust Nazran
20.06.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
Rostov 22
L
13.06.26FNL2B
Lugansk1
Angust Nazran0
L
06.06.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Rubin Yalta1
L
30.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash5
Angust Nazran1
L
23.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Maykop1
L
16.05.26FNL2B
Spartak Nalchik0
Angust Nazran0
D
08.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran0
Nart Cherkessk3
L
02.05.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran2
Dynamo Makhachkala 20
W
25.04.26FNL2B
Izberbash1
Angust Nazran0
L
18.04.26FNL2B
Angust Nazran1
FK Chayka 20
W
FC Sevastopol (Home)
13.06.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Pobeda1
W
30.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol0
Maykop0
D
16.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
02.05.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
FK Chayka 20
W
18.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
W
04.04.26FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Rostov 21
W
15.11.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol1
Nart Cherkessk1
D
08.11.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol2
Kholding0
W
25.10.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol1
Rostov 20
W
04.10.25FNL2B
FC Sevastopol3
Dynamo Stavropol1
W
Angust Nazran (Away)
13.06.26FNL2B
Lugansk1
Angust Nazran0
L
30.05.26FNL2B
Kyzyltash5
Angust Nazran1
L
16.05.26FNL2B
Spartak Nalchik0
Angust Nazran0
D
25.04.26FNL2B
Izberbash1
Angust Nazran0
L
11.04.26FNL2B
Shahter Taganrog1
Angust Nazran0
L
04.04.26FNL2B
Astrakhan0
Angust Nazran1
W
28.03.26FNL2B
FK Pobeda0
Angust Nazran1
W
26.10.25FNL2B
Sochi 21
Angust Nazran0
L
12.10.25FNL2B
Dynamo Makhachkala 21
Angust Nazran1
D
05.10.25FNL2B
Legion Makhachkala1
Angust Nazran3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 27th June 2026, FC Sevastopol host Angust Nazran in Russia FNL 2. We recommend FC Sevastopol to win as the standout selection.

FC Sevastopol arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Angust Nazran are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Sevastopol, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Angust Nazran's 0, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fc sevastopol to win at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Russia FNL 2 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at the host venue, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.11, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 3:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Sevastopol vs Angust Nazran?
Our selection is 1 — FC Sevastopol to win, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is FC Sevastopol's current form?
FC Sevastopol have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Angust Nazran been performing recently?
Angust Nazran have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Sevastopol lead with 2 wins versus Angust Nazran's 0, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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