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Result: FC Gomel 2-3 Baranovici

FC Gomel

Home Side

W D W W W

6W 2D 2L

2-3

Belarus Vysshaya Liga

Baranovici

Away Side

D D L L L

0W 3D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing FC Gomel to win — Thursday, 14th May 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 66%

Implied Prob 72.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — FC Gomel to win

1.38

Over 1.5 Goals90%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-6.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

FC Gomel

Draws

Baranovici

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

75%

Over 2.5

4.8

Avg Goals

Supports Pick FC Gomel won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

FC Gomel

Metric

Baranovici

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.6

0.9

Goals Against / Game

2.1

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-2-2

W — D — L

0-3-7

Win Rate Comparison

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 5.0%

0-2 1.9%

0-3 0.5%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 13.1%

1-1 9.8%

1-2 3.7%

1-3 0.9%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 12.8%

2-1 9.6%

2-2 3.6%

2-3 0.9%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 8.3%

3-1 6.2%

3-2 2.3%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.1%

4-1 3.0%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.6%

5-1 1.2%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.1%) 2-0 (12.8%) 2-1 (9.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

FC Gomel Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Baranovici Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

FC Gomel

Overall

6.6 ▼

Scoring

6.0 ▼

Defence

7.0 ▼

Baranovici

Overall

0.9 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

3.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%

Home Win & BTTS No 39%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 16%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 36%

Home Win & Under 2.5 36%

Draw & Over 2.5 15%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

10.09.16PL

Baranovici0

FC Gomel6

15.05.16PL

FC Gomel4

Baranovici1

14.08.10PL

FC Gomel5

Baranovici1

25.04.10PL

Baranovici0

FC Gomel2

Recent Form

FC Gomel

08.05.26VL

FC Gomel2

Isloch0

02.05.26VL

FC Gomel1

Zhodino1

26.04.26VL

Belshina0

FC Gomel2

19.04.26VL

FC Gomel3

Slavia Mozyr1

10.04.26VL

Naftan0

FC Gomel2

05.04.26VL

FC Minsk2

FC Gomel0

20.03.26VL

Vitebsk1

FC Gomel1

13.03.26CF

FC Gomel3

BumProm Gomel1

07.03.26CF

FC Gomel2

Iskra Smolensk1

28.02.26CF

FC Gomel4

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0

Baranovici

08.05.26VL

Baranovici1

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1

02.05.26VL

Dnepr Mogilev0

Baranovici0

25.04.26VL

Baranovici2

Din. Minsk3

18.04.26VL

Dynamo Brest3

Baranovici0

11.04.26VL

Baranovici0

ML Vitebsk4

05.04.26VL

BATE3

Baranovici0

22.03.26VL

Isloch2

Baranovici0

07.03.26CF

Neman0

Baranovici0

04.03.26CF

Baranovici1

Niva Dolbizno2

28.02.26CF

Din. Minsk3

Baranovici2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Belarus Vysshaya Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for FC Gomel vs Baranovici?

Our selection is 1 — FC Gomel to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is FC Gomel's current form?

FC Gomel have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Baranovici been performing recently?

Baranovici have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

FC Gomel lead with 4 wins versus Baranovici's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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