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Result: Deportivo Riestra 2 2-2 San Martin 2

Deportivo Riestra 2

Home Side

W D L W L

5W 2D 3L

2-2

Argentina Reserve League

San Martin 2

Away Side

L L L W L

2W 0D 8L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Deportivo Riestra 2 to win — Thursday, 14th May 2026

Best Odds 1.21

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 82.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Deportivo Riestra 2 to win

1.21

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

82.6%

Based on 1.21 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-32.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Deportivo Riestra 2

Draws

San Martin 2

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Deportivo Riestra 2 won 1 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Deportivo Riestra 2

Metric

San Martin 2

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.9

Goals Against / Game

3.5

40%

Clean Sheet %

5-2-3

W — D — L

2-0-8

Win Rate Comparison

50%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.7%

0-1 2.6%

0-2 1.2%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 7.2%

1-1 6.9%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 1.0%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.6%

2-1 9.1%

2-2 4.3%

2-3 1.4%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 8.5%

3-1 8.1%

3-2 3.8%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 5.6%

4-1 5.3%

4-2 2.5%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 3.0%

5-1 2.8%

5-2 1.3%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (9.6%) 2-1 (9.1%) 3-0 (8.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Deportivo Riestra 2 Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

San Martin 2 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Deportivo Riestra 2

Overall

5.6 ▲

Scoring

6.0 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

San Martin 2

Overall

2.0 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

0.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%

Home Win & BTTS No 25%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 44%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

24.07.25RL

San Martin S.J. 21

Deportivo Riestra 20

27.02.25RL

Deportivo Riestra 22

San Martin S.J. 21

Recent Form

Deportivo Riestra 2

07.05.26RL

Ind. Rivadavia 22

Deportivo Riestra 23

30.04.26RL

Deportivo Riestra 21

Colon Santa Fe 21

23.04.26RL

Barracas Central 21

Deportivo Riestra 20

15.04.26RL

Deportivo Riestra 23

Belgrano 20

07.04.26RL

Lanus 23

Deportivo Riestra 22

31.03.26RL

Deportivo Riestra 20

Newells Old Boys 21

26.03.26RL

Defensa y Justicia 21

Deportivo Riestra 21

18.03.26RL

Deportivo Riestra 23

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 20

04.03.26RL

Huracan 20

Deportivo Riestra 21

17.02.26RL

Deportivo Riestra 24

Ferro 20

San Martin 2

07.05.26RL

San Martin S.J. 21

Belgrano 22

29.04.26RL

Lanus 26

San Martin S.J. 21

22.04.26RL

Godoy Cruz 21

San Martin S.J. 20

14.04.26RL

San Martin S.J. 22

Newells Old Boys 21

08.04.26RL

Defensa y Justicia 28

San Martin S.J. 20

01.04.26RL

San Martin S.J. 21

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 22

26.03.26RL

Huracan 26

San Martin S.J. 21

19.03.26RL

San Martin S.J. 22

Ferro 21

03.03.26RL

Boca Juniors 24

San Martin S.J. 21

18.02.26RL

San Martin S.J. 21

Independiente 24

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Argentina Reserve League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Deportivo Riestra 2 vs San Martin 2?

Our selection is 1 — Deportivo Riestra 2 to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Deportivo Riestra 2's current form?

Deportivo Riestra 2 have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has San Martin 2 been performing recently?

San Martin 2 have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Deportivo Riestra 2 lead with 1 wins versus San Martin 2's 1, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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