WON

Result: Al Faisaly 4-0 Al Batin

Al Faisaly

Home Side

W W W W W

9W 1D 0L

4-0

Saudi Division 1

Al Batin

Away Side

W D L L W

3W 2D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Faisaly to win — Thursday, 14th May 2026

Best Odds 1.20

Confidence 60%

Implied Prob 83.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Faisaly to win

1.20

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

83.3%

Based on 1.20 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-23.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Faisaly

Draws

Al Batin

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

3.1

Avg Goals

Against Pick Al Faisaly won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Faisaly

Metric

Al Batin

2.6

Goals For / Game

1.6

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.9

50%

Clean Sheet %

10%

9-1-0

W — D — L

3-2-5

Win Rate Comparison

90%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.5%

0-1 3.9%

0-2 2.1%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 7.9%

1-1 8.7%

1-2 4.8%

1-3 1.8%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.9%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.7%

3-1 7.3%

3-2 4.0%

3-3 1.5%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 3.8%

4-1 4.1%

4-2 2.3%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.7%

5-1 1.9%

5-2 1.0%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.8%) 2-0 (8.9%) 1-0 (7.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al Faisaly Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Batin Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Faisaly

Overall

9.3 ▼

Scoring

8.7 ▼

Defence

8.0 ▼

Al Batin

Overall

3.6 ▼

Scoring

5.3 ▼

Defence

3.7 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 47%

Home Win & BTTS No 20%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 50%

Home Win & Under 2.5 17%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 3%

Away Win & Over 2.5 17%

Away Win & Under 2.5 6%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

16.01.26DIV

Al Batin1

Al-Faisaly2

28.04.25DIV

Al-Faisaly1

Al Batin2

18.12.24DIV

Al Batin3

Al-Faisaly1

10.03.24DIV

Al-Faisaly1

Al Batin3

23.10.23DIV

Al Batin2

Al-Faisaly2

27.02.22SPL

Al Batin1

Al-Faisaly0

01.10.21SPL

Al-Faisaly2

Al Batin2

15.03.21KC

Al Batin1

Al-Faisaly2

05.02.21SPL

Al Batin0

Al-Faisaly2

23.10.20SPL

Al-Faisaly2

Al Batin1

Recent Form

Al Faisaly

09.05.26DIV

Al Bukiryah0

Al-Faisaly2

02.05.26DIV

Al-Faisaly2

Al Jabalain0

27.04.26DIV

Al Raed1

Al-Faisaly2

22.04.26DIV

Jeddah0

Al-Faisaly4

15.04.26DIV

Al-Faisaly3

Al Taee0

10.04.26DIV

Al Orubah0

Al-Faisaly1

02.04.26DIV

Al-Faisaly2

Al Jubail1

07.03.26DIV

Al-Faisaly2

Al Diriyah2

02.03.26DIV

Al Adalah1

Al-Faisaly6

25.02.26DIV

Al-Faisaly2

Al-Ula1

Al Batin

09.05.26DIV

Al Batin4

Al Taee1

03.05.26DIV

Al Batin0

Al Bukiryah0

26.04.26DIV

Abha3

Al Batin1

21.04.26DIV

Al Batin2

Al Anwar3

15.04.26DIV

Al Batin3

Al Arabi1

09.04.26DIV

Al Adalah1

Al Batin1

04.04.26DIV

Al Batin1

Al Orubah3

12.03.26DIV

Al Diriyah4

Al Batin1

07.03.26DIV

Al Batin1

Al Jandal2

24.02.26DIV

Al Batin2

Al Wehda1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Faisaly vs Al Batin?

Our selection is 1 — Al Faisaly to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 60%.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Al Batin been performing recently?

Al Batin have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Faisaly lead with 4 wins versus Al Batin's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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