PENDING
Result: 1 — Estudiantes to win
DirectWinPredict Copa Libertadores Estudiantes vs Cusco
E

Estudiantes

Home Side
W D L W W
5W 2D 3L
VS
Copa Libertadores
C
Cusco
Away Side
L W W L W
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Estudiantes to win — Tuesday, 14th April 2026
Best Odds 1.23
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 81.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Estudiantes
1
Draws
0
Cusco
2
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
1.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Estudiantes won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Estudiantes
Metric
Cusco
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
E0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 14.6%
1-1 13.1%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
E2
2-0 9.1%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.6%) 2-0 (9.1%) 2-1 (8.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Estudiantes Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cusco Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Estudiantes
Overall
5.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Cusco
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
01.05.18
Copa Libertadores: Cusco FC0
Estudiantes LP0
14.03.18
Copa Libertadores: Estudiantes LP3
Cusco FC0
Recent Form
Estudiantes
11.04.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes2
Unión de Santa Fe1
W
09.04.26
Copa Libertadores: Independiente Medellín1
Estudiantes1
D
03.04.26
Liga Profesional: San Lorenzo1
Estudiantes0
L
23.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes5
Central Córdoba0
W
18.03.26
Liga Profesional: Gimnasia Mendoza1
Estudiantes2
W
14.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes0
Lanús1
L
02.03.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes0
Vélez Sarsfield1
L
25.02.26
Liga Profesional: Newell’s Old Boys0
Estudiantes2
W
20.02.26
Liga Profesional: Estudiantes1
Sarmiento Junín0
W
15.02.26
Liga Profesional: Gimnasia L.P.0
Estudiantes0
D
Cusco
09.04.26
Copa Libertadores: Cusco FC0
Flamengo RJ2
L
04.04.26
Liga 1: FBC Melgar1
Cusco FC3
W
21.03.26
Liga 1: Moquegua1
Cusco FC2
W
16.03.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
Cienciano2
L
08.03.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
Deportivo Garcilaso0
W
01.03.26
Liga 1: Juan Pablo II2
Cusco FC1
L
23.02.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC3
Comerciantes Unidos1
W
13.02.26
Liga 1: Cajamarca1
Cusco FC0
L
08.02.26
Liga 1: Cusco FC1
U. de Deportes1
D
01.02.26
Liga 1: Alianza Atl.1
Cusco FC0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Libertadores game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.23 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Estudiantes vs Cusco?
Our selection is 1 — Estudiantes to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Estudiantes's current form?
Estudiantes have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cusco been performing recently?
Cusco have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Estudiantes lead with 1 wins versus Cusco's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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