WON
Result: Alashkert 2-0 Ararat Yerevan
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs Ararat Yerevan
A

Alashkert

Home Side
3W 2D 5L
VS
2-0
Armenia Premier League
A
Ararat Yerevan
Away Side
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Alashkert to win — Tuesday, 14th April 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 44%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
5
Alashkert
2
Draws
3
Ararat Yerevan
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Alashkert won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Alashkert
Metric
Ararat Yerevan
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
3-2-5
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
30%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 8.3%
0-2 6.2%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
A1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
A2
2-0 5.4%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
A3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.1%) 1-0 (7.7%) 2-0 (5.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Alashkert Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ararat Yerevan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Alashkert
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
Ararat Yerevan
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
11.04.26
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
16.08.25
Premier League: Alashkert3
Ararat Yerevan0
18.04.25
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan3
Alashkert2
08.03.25
Premier League: Alashkert0
Ararat Yerevan1
11.02.25
Friendlies: Alashkert0
Ararat Yerevan0
30.01.25
Friendlies: Ararat Yerevan1
Alashkert1
03.08.24
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert0
20.05.24
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan1
Alashkert3
30.03.24
Premier League: Alashkert2
Ararat Yerevan1
12.11.23
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan0
Alashkert1
Recent Form
Alashkert
11.04.26
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
W
06.04.26
Premier League: Ararat-Armenia1
Alashkert1
D
21.03.26
Premier League: Alashkert0
Pyunik Yerevan1
L
15.03.26
Premier League: Pyunik Yerevan1
Alashkert0
L
07.03.26
Premier League: Alashkert1
Ararat-Armenia0
W
13.02.26
Friendlies: Termez Surkhon2
Alashkert3
W
13.02.26
Friendlies: Orenburg2
Alashkert1
L
09.02.26
Friendlies: Ordabasy2
Alashkert1
L
09.02.26
Friendlies: Samgurali3
Alashkert1
L
05.02.26
Friendlies: Kaisar Kyzylorda0
Alashkert0
D
Ararat Yerevan
11.04.26
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
L
04.04.26
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan1
Van2
L
01.04.26
Armenian Cup: Urartu2
Ararat Yerevan3
W
21.03.26
Premier League: FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Yerevan1
L
14.03.26
Premier League: Ararat Yerevan0
FC Gandzasar2
L
07.03.26
Premier League: Van1
Ararat Yerevan2
W
03.03.26
Armenian Cup: Ararat Yerevan0
Urartu3
L
21.02.26
Friendlies: Van1
Ararat Yerevan0
L
07.02.26
Friendlies: FC Gandzasar1
Ararat Yerevan1
D
06.02.26
Friendlies: Ararat Yerevan5
Sardarapat1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Alashkert vs Ararat Yerevan?
Our selection is 1 — Alashkert to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Alashkert's current form?
Alashkert have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Yerevan been performing recently?
Ararat Yerevan have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Alashkert lead with 5 wins versus Ararat Yerevan's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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