WON
Result: Ferencvaros 2-1 Puskas Academy
DirectWinPredict Hungary NB 1 Ferencvaros vs Puskas Academy
F

Ferencvaros

Home Side
W W D L W
8W 1D 1L
VS
2-1
Hungary NB 1
P
Puskas Academy
Away Side
L W D L L
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Ferencvaros to win — Tuesday, 14th April 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 54%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ferencvaros to win
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Ferencvaros
3
Draws
4
Puskas Academy
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Against Pick Ferencvaros won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Ferencvaros
Metric
Puskas Academy
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.7%) 2-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Ferencvaros Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Puskas Academy Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Ferencvaros
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
Puskas Academy
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.11.25
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Ferencvaros2
16.08.25
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros1
Puskas Academy2
03.05.25
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros1
Puskas Academy1
09.02.25
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Ferencvaros0
29.09.24
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros3
Puskas Academy0
17.03.24
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros1
Puskas Academy1
26.11.23
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Ferencvaros1
01.11.23
Magyar Kupa: Ferencvaros4
Puskas Academy (AET)3
13.08.23
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros1
Puskas Academy2
12.03.23
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros1
Puskas Academy2
Recent Form
Ferencvaros
10.04.26
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros3
Diosgyor (DVTK)1
W
05.04.26
OTP Bank Liga: Debrecen0
Ferencvaros2
W
22.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Kisvarda1
Ferencvaros1
D
18.03.26
Europa League: Braga4
Ferencvaros0
L
12.03.26
Europa League: Ferencvaros2
Braga0
W
08.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Nyiregyhaza1
Ferencvaros3
W
04.03.26
Magyar Kupa: Kazincbarcika0
Ferencvaros5
W
01.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Ferencvaros2
Kazincbarcika1
W
26.02.26
Europa League: Ferencvaros2
Ludogorets0
W
23.02.26
OTP Bank Liga: MTK Budapest1
Ferencvaros3
W
Puskas Academy
10.04.26
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Gyor4
L
05.04.26
OTP Bank Liga: Diosgyor (DVTK)1
Puskas Academy2
W
22.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Debrecen1
D
06.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Kisvarda1
Puskas Academy0
L
01.03.26
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Nyiregyhaza2
L
21.02.26
OTP Bank Liga: Kazincbarcika0
Puskas Academy2
W
14.02.26
OTP Bank Liga: MTK Budapest2
Puskas Academy2
D
08.02.26
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy0
Zalaegerszeg1
L
31.01.26
OTP Bank Liga: Ujpest0
Puskas Academy1
W
24.01.26
OTP Bank Liga: Puskas Academy1
Paks2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Hungary NB 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ferencvaros vs Puskas Academy?
Our selection is 1 — Ferencvaros to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Ferencvaros's current form?
Ferencvaros have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Puskas Academy been performing recently?
Puskas Academy have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ferencvaros lead with 3 wins versus Puskas Academy's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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