WON
Result: El Gaish 1-0 Pharco
DirectWinPredict Egypt Premier League El Gaish vs Pharco
E

El Gaish

Home Side
L W D D L
4W 3D 3L
VS
1-0
Egypt Premier League
P
Pharco
Away Side
L D D L L
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing El Gaish to win or draw — Monday, 18th May 2026
Best Odds 1.11
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 90.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — El Gaish to win or draw
1.11
Under 2.5 Goals85% BTTS — No70% El Gaish Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
90.1%
Based on 1.11 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-0.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
El Gaish
6
Draws
0
Pharco
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
10%
Over 2.5
1.4
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
El Gaish
Metric
Pharco
0.7
Goals For / Game
0.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1
60%
Clean Sheet %
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
40%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
E0
0-0 24.7%
0-1 13.6%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
E1
1-0 21.0%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
E2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 4.9%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
E3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
E4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-0 (24.7%) 1-0 (21.0%) 1-1 (11.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
El Gaish
Overall
4.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
8.0
Pharco
Overall
2.2
Scoring
1.7
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 29%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 35%
Away Win & Over 2.5 2%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.01.26CUP
El Gaish1
Pharco0
19.08.25PL
Pharco0
El Gaish1
26.01.25PL
El Gaish0
Pharco0
12.12.24CUP
Pharco1
El Gaish1
20.07.24PL
El Gaish0
Pharco0
25.02.24PL
Pharco1
El Gaish1
26.01.24CUP
Pharco0
El Gaish1
16.05.23PL
El Gaish2
Pharco2
04.01.23PL
Pharco1
El Gaish1
28.07.22PL
Pharco0
El Gaish1
Recent Form
El Gaish
13.05.26PL
Al Ittihad1
El Gaish0
L
07.05.26PL
El Gaish1
Ghazl El Mahallah0
W
03.05.26PL
Haras El Hodood0
El Gaish0
D
29.04.26PL
Modern Sport0
El Gaish0
D
24.04.26PL
El Gaish1
Kahrabaa Ismailia2
L
18.04.26PL
Arab Contractors2
El Gaish0
L
13.04.26PL
El Gaish2
Petrojet0
W
09.04.26PL
El Gaish1
National Bank Egypt0
W
05.04.26PL
El Ismaily0
El Gaish0
D
29.03.26CUP
El Gaish2
Wadi Degla1
W
Pharco
12.05.26PL
Pharco0
Modern Sport1
L
08.05.26PL
Kahrabaa Ismailia0
Pharco0
D
04.05.26PL
Pharco1
Arab Contractors1
D
28.04.26PL
ZED1
Pharco0
L
24.04.26PL
Pharco0
El Gouna1
L
18.04.26PL
Petrojet1
Pharco0
L
13.04.26PL
Pharco2
Haras El Hodood1
W
08.04.26PL
Wadi Degla2
Pharco0
L
04.04.26PL
Pharco1
Ghazl El Mahallah1
D
22.03.26PL
Al Ittihad1
Pharco1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Egypt Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.11 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for El Gaish vs Pharco?
Our selection is 1X — El Gaish to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is El Gaish's current form?
El Gaish have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pharco been performing recently?
Pharco have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
El Gaish lead with 4 wins versus Pharco's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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