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Result: Tanjong Pagar 2-1 Hougang

Tanjong Pagar

Home Side

0W 0D 10L

2-1

Singapore Premier League

Hougang

Away Side

L W W L L

4W 0D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Hougang to win — Monday, 18th May 2026

Best Odds 1.41

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 70.9%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Hougang to win

1.41

Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — No70%

Implied Prob

70.9%

Based on 1.41 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-20.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Tanjong Pagar

Draws

Hougang

Meetings

70%

BTTS Rate

70%

Over 2.5

3.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Hougang won 6 of 10 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Tanjong Pagar

Metric

Hougang

0.3

Goals For / Game

1.2

3.1

Goals Against / Game

1.6

Clean Sheet %

30%

0-0-10

W — D — L

4-0-6

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 9.7%

0-2 10.4%

0-3 7.5%

0-4 4.0%

0-5 1.7%

1-0 4.3%

1-1 9.2%

1-2 9.9%

1-3 7.1%

1-4 3.8%

1-5 1.6%

2-0 2.0%

2-1 4.4%

2-2 4.7%

2-3 3.4%

2-4 1.8%

2-5 0.8%

3-0 0.6%

3-1 1.4%

3-2 1.5%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 0.2%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.4%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.1%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (10.4%) 1-2 (9.9%) 0-1 (9.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Tanjong Pagar Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Hougang Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Tanjong Pagar

Overall

0.0 —

Scoring

1.0 —

Defence

0.0 —

Hougang

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Away Win & BTTS No 70%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 75%

Away Win & Under 2.5 25%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

05.05.26PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Hougang2

23.02.26PL

Hougang3

Tanjong Pagar0

07.11.25CUP

Tanjong Pagar2

Hougang3

13.05.25PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Hougang1

01.11.24PL

Hougang6

Tanjong Pagar0

11.08.24PL

Hougang5

Tanjong Pagar1

26.05.24PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Hougang1

19.04.24CF

Hougang1

Tanjong Pagar0

25.09.23CUP

Tanjong Pagar2

Hougang1

19.08.23PL

Hougang3

Tanjong Pagar3

Recent Form

Tanjong Pagar

09.05.26PL

Balestier Khalsa6

Tanjong Pagar0

05.05.26PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Hougang2

25.04.26PL

Albirex Niigata4

Tanjong Pagar0

19.04.26PL

Geylang2

Tanjong Pagar1

10.04.26PL

Tanjong Pagar0

Young Lions1

06.04.26PL

Tanjong Pagar0

Lion City4

16.03.26PL

Tanjong Pagar0

Tampines3

06.03.26PL

Tanjong Pagar0

Albirex Niigata2

01.03.26PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Balestier Khalsa4

23.02.26PL

Hougang3

Tanjong Pagar0

Hougang

10.05.26PL

Hougang0

Tampines1

05.05.26PL

Tanjong Pagar1

Hougang2

27.04.26PL

Balestier Khalsa0

Hougang3

18.04.26PL

Hougang0

Albirex Niigata4

12.04.26PL

Lion City4

Hougang1

04.04.26PL

Hougang0

Geylang1

14.03.26PL

Young Lions0

Hougang2

09.03.26PL

Hougang1

Balestier Khalsa2

27.02.26PL

Tampines3

Hougang0

23.02.26PL

Hougang3

Tanjong Pagar0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Singapore Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang?

Our selection is 2 — Hougang to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Tanjong Pagar's current form?

Tanjong Pagar have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 10 of their last 10 matches.

How has Hougang been performing recently?

Hougang have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Tanjong Pagar lead with 1 wins versus Hougang's 6, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.

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