WON

Result: Dep Pasto W 1-3 Atl Nacional W

Dep Pasto W

Home Side

L L L D L

0W 3D 7L

1-3

Colombia Liga Women

Atl Nacional W

Away Side

W W W L W

8W 0D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Atl Nacional W to win — Sunday, 24th May 2026

Best Odds 1.36

Confidence 63%

Implied Prob 73.5%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Atl Nacional W to win

1.36

Atl Nacional W Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

73.5%

Based on 1.36 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-10.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Dep Pasto W

Draws

Atl Nacional W

Meetings

33%

BTTS Rate

33%

Over 2.5

2.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Atl Nacional W won 2 of 3 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Dep Pasto W

Metric

Atl Nacional W

0.7

Goals For / Game

1.7

Goals Against / Game

0.4

20%

Clean Sheet %

60%

0-3-7

W — D — L

8-0-2

Win Rate Comparison

80%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 10.5%

0-1 17.9%

0-2 15.2%

0-3 8.6%

0-4 3.7%

0-5 1.3%

1-0 5.8%

1-1 9.9%

1-2 8.4%

1-3 4.8%

1-4 2.0%

1-5 0.7%

2-0 1.6%

2-1 2.7%

2-2 2.3%

2-3 1.3%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 0.3%

3-1 0.5%

3-2 0.4%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.0%

4-1 0.1%

4-2 0.1%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (17.9%) 0-2 (15.2%) 0-3 (8.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Dep Pasto W Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Atl Nacional W Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Dep Pasto W

Overall

0.9 —

Scoring

2.3 —

Defence

4.3 —

Atl Nacional W

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

5.7 —

Defence

8.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Away Win & BTTS No 50%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 38%

Away Win & Under 2.5 46%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

02.03.25LW

Atl. Nacional W2

Dep. Pasto0

06.04.24LW

Dep. Pasto W1

Atl. Nacional1

02.03.23LW

Dep. Pasto W0

Atl. Nacional3

Recent Form

Dep Pasto W

18.05.26LW

America de Cali W2

Dep. Pasto W0

10.05.26LW

Dep. Pasto W1

Fortaleza W2

04.05.26LW

Once Caldas W1

Dep. Pasto W0

26.04.26LW

Dep. Pasto W0

Santa Fe W0

11.04.26LW

Dep. Pasto W1

Millonarios W2

31.03.26LW

Ind. Medellin W3

Dep. Pasto W1

22.03.26LW

Dep. Pasto W0

Junior W0

18.03.26LW

Bucaramanga W3

Dep. Pasto W1

09.03.26LW

Real Santander W1

Dep. Pasto W1

01.03.26LW

Dep. Pasto W2

Inter Palmira W3

Atl Nacional W

16.05.26LW

Atl. Nacional W1

Once Caldas W0

11.05.26LW

Inter Palmira W0

Atl. Nacional W1

01.05.26LW

Atl. Nacional W1

Ind. Medellin W0

26.04.26LW

Orsomarso W1

Atl. Nacional W0

12.04.26LW

Atl. Nacional W5

Real Santander W0

30.03.26LW

Junior W1

Atl. Nacional W2

21.03.26LW

Atl. Nacional W2

Bucaramanga W0

16.03.26LW

America de Cali W1

Atl. Nacional W0

10.03.26LW

Atl. Nacional W2

Millonarios W1

25.02.26LW

Santa Fe W0

Atl. Nacional W3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Colombia Liga Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.36 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Dep Pasto W vs Atl Nacional W?

Our selection is 2 — Atl Nacional W to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

What is Dep Pasto W's current form?

Dep Pasto W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.

How has Atl Nacional W been performing recently?

Atl Nacional W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Dep Pasto W lead with 0 wins versus Atl Nacional W's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.

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