WON
Result: Brighton 0-3 Man United
DirectWinPredict › Premier League› Brighton vs Man United
B

Brighton

Home Side
L W L W D
6W 1D 3L
VS
0-3
Premier League
M
Man United
Away Side
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Sunday, 24th May 2026
Best Odds 1.43
Confidence 72%
Implied Prob 69.9%
⚡ Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.43
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80%
Implied Prob
69.9%
Based on 1.43 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+2.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
6.9%
Suggested % of bankroll
⚔ Head to Head Record
7
Brighton
3
Draws
0
Man United
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Brighton
Metric
Man United
1.6
Goals For / Game
0
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
60%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
B0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 12.9%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 22.9%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 2.3%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 0.9%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.3%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-0 (28.7%) 1-0 (22.9%) 0-1 (12.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Brighton
Overall
6.3 ▲
Scoring
5.3 ▲
Defence
7.0 ▲
Man United
Overall
6.6 ▼
Scoring
0.0 ▼
Defence
10.0 ▼
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
11.01.26FAC
Manchester Utd1
Brighton2
25.10.25PL
Manchester Utd4
Brighton2
19.01.25PL
Manchester Utd1
Brighton3
24.08.24PL
Brighton2
Manchester Utd1
19.05.24PL
Brighton0
Manchester Utd2
16.09.23PL
Manchester Utd1
Brighton3
04.05.23PL
Brighton1
Manchester Utd0
23.04.23FAC
Brighton0
Manchester Utd1
07.08.22PL
Manchester Utd1
Brighton2
07.05.22PL
Brighton4
Manchester Utd0
Recent Form
Brighton
17.05.26PL
Leeds1
Brighton0
L
09.05.26PL
Brighton3
Wolves0
W
02.05.26PL
Newcastle3
Brighton1
L
21.04.26PL
Brighton3
Chelsea0
W
18.04.26PL
Tottenham2
Brighton2
D
11.04.26PL
Burnley0
Brighton2
W
21.03.26PL
Brighton2
Liverpool1
W
14.03.26PL
Sunderland0
Brighton1
W
04.03.26PL
Brighton0
Arsenal1
L
01.03.26PL
Brighton2
Nottingham1
W
Man United
17.05.26PL
Manchester Utd3
Nottingham2
W
09.05.26PL
Sunderland0
Manchester Utd0
D
03.05.26PL
Manchester Utd3
Liverpool2
W
27.04.26PL
Manchester Utd2
Brentford1
W
18.04.26PL
Chelsea0
Manchester Utd1
W
13.04.26PL
Manchester Utd1
Leeds2
L
20.03.26PL
Bournemouth2
Manchester Utd2
D
15.03.26PL
Manchester Utd3
Aston Villa1
W
04.03.26PL
Newcastle2
Manchester Utd1
L
01.03.26PL
Manchester Utd2
Crystal Palace1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.43 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Brighton vs Man United?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Brighton's current form?
Brighton have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Man United been performing recently?
Man United have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Brighton lead with 7 wins versus Man United's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.