WON
Result: Denbigh 3-2 Airbus
DirectWinPredict Wales Cymru North Denbigh vs Airbus
D

Denbigh

Home Side
W L L L L
4W 0D 6L
VS
3-2
Wales Cymru North
A
Airbus
Away Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
BTTS
Backing both teams to score — Friday, 20th March 2026
Best Odds 1.60
Confidence 82%
Implied Prob 62.5%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
BTTS — both teams to score
1.60
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85% Airbus Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
62.5%
Based on 1.60 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+19.5%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
52%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Denbigh
1
Draws
5
Airbus
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick BTTS in 6 of 10 H2H games.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Denbigh
Metric
Airbus
1.4
Goals For / Game
3.6
2
Goals Against / Game
0.4
10%
Clean Sheet %
60%
4-0-6
W — D — L
10-0-0
Win Rate Comparison
40%
100%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 9.7%
0-3 9.1%
0-4 6.3%
0-5 3.6%
D1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 6.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 8.1%
1-4 5.7%
1-5 3.2%
D2
2-0 1.0%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 2.6%
2-5 1.4%
D3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 1.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.4%
D4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (9.7%) 0-3 (9.1%) 1-2 (8.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Denbigh
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
Airbus
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 57%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.11.25
FAW: Airbus UK2
Denbigh Town3
08.11.24
FAW: Denbigh Town0
Airbus UK4
26.07.24
FAW: Airbus UK7
Denbigh Town0
02.03.24
FAW: Airbus UK3
Denbigh Town1
08.09.23
FAW: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK0
16.03.19
CA: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK3
03.11.18
CA: Airbus UK2
Denbigh Town0
17.03.18
CA: Airbus UK1
Denbigh Town1
17.11.17
CA: Denbigh Town3
Airbus UK1
20.10.15
CUP: Denbigh Town2
Airbus UK1
Recent Form
Denbigh
13.03.26
FAW: Buckley1
Denbigh Town4
W
06.03.26
FAW: Denbigh0
Brickfield1
L
27.02.26
FAW: Holywell5
Denbigh Town1
L
20.02.26
FAW: Llandudno4
Denbigh Town0
L
07.02.26
FAW: Mold Alexandra2
Denbigh Town1
L
30.01.26
FAW: Flint Mountain1
Denbigh Town0
L
24.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town1
Newtown0
W
20.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town3
Guilsfield2
W
17.01.26
FAW: Brickfield1
Denbigh Town2
W
01.01.26
FAW: Denbigh Town2
Gresford3
L
Airbus
13.03.26
FAW: Airbus UK8
Mold Alexandra0
W
10.03.26
FAW: Brickfield0
Airbus UK5
W
07.03.26
FAW: Caersws FC1
Airbus UK2
W
28.02.26
FAW: Airbus UK3
Buckley0
W
25.02.26
FAW: Ruthin0
Airbus UK4
W
14.02.26
FAW: Rhyl1
Airbus UK3
W
31.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK4
Penrhyncoch0
W
23.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK2
Gresford1
W
10.01.26
FAW: Holyhead0
Airbus UK2
W
01.01.26
FAW: Airbus UK3
Flint Mountain1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 20th March 2026, Denbigh host Airbus in Wales Cymru North. We recommend both teams to score as the standout selection.

Denbigh arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Airbus are travelling well, with a record of 10W 0D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Denbigh, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Airbus's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: both teams to score at odds of 1.60 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Wales Cymru North game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is BTTS, and it looks even better when you see the @1.60 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Denbigh vs Airbus?
Our selection is BTTS — both teams to score, priced at approximately 1.60. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Denbigh's current form?
Denbigh have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Airbus been performing recently?
Airbus have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Denbigh lead with 4 wins versus Airbus's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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