WON

Result: Cork City 4-1 Athlone

Cork City

Home Side

W W D W W

8W 2D 0L

4-1

Ireland Division 1

Athlone

Away Side

L W L D W

3W 3D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Cork City to win — Friday, 27th March 2026

Best Odds 1.26

Confidence 62%

Implied Prob 79.4%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Cork City

Draws

Athlone

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Cork City won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Cork City

Metric

Athlone

1.9

Goals For / Game

1.3

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

8-2-0

W — D — L

3-3-4

Win Rate Comparison

80%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 6.4%

0-2 3.0%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.8%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.3%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 4.6%

2-3 1.5%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.0%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 2.7%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.6%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.8%) 2-0 (10.3%) 2-1 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Cork City Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Athlone Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Cork City

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

6.3 —

Defence

8.0 —

Athlone

Overall

3.9 ▼

Scoring

4.3 ▼

Defence

4.7 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%

Home Win & BTTS No 21%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 30%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 11%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

11.10.24

DIV: Athlone Town4

Cork City1

09.08.24

DIV: Cork City0

Athlone Town0

31.05.24

DIV: Athlone Town1

Cork City0

29.03.24

DIV: Cork City1

Athlone Town0

14.10.22

DIV: Athlone Town3

Cork City2

05.08.22

DIV: Cork City6

Athlone Town1

06.05.22

DIV: Athlone Town1

Cork City2

25.03.22

DIV: Cork City4

Athlone Town1

03.09.21

DIV: Cork City3

Athlone Town1

18.06.21

DIV: Athlone Town0

Cork City2

Recent Form

Cork City

20.03.26

DIV: UC Dublin0

Cork City1

13.03.26

DIV: Cork City2

Longford1

06.03.26

DIV: Cobh Ramblers1

Cork City1

27.02.26

DIV: Cork City1

Bray0

20.02.26

DIV: Wexford1

Cork City4

13.02.26

DIV: Cork City1

Treaty United0

04.02.26

CF: Cork City4

Kerry1

29.01.26

CF: Cork City3

Galway1

23.01.26

CF: St. Patricks1

Cork City1

14.01.26

CF: Cork City1

Waterford0

Athlone

20.03.26

DIV: Treaty United2

Athlone Town0

13.03.26

DIV: Athlone Town2

Cobh Ramblers0

06.03.26

DIV: Bray Wanderers2

Athlone Town1

27.02.26

DIV: Athlone Town2

Wexford2

20.02.26

DIV: Kerry FC0

Athlone Town1

13.02.26

DIV: Athlone Town2

Finn Harps1

16.01.26

CF: Bohemians4

Athlone Town1

17.10.25

DIV: Athlone Town1

Longford2

10.10.25

DIV: UC Dublin2

Athlone Town2

03.10.25

DIV: Athlone Town1

Dundalk1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 27th March 2026, Cork City host Athlone in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Athlone are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Athlone's 3, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.26 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Athlone?

Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Cork City's current form?

Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Athlone been performing recently?

Athlone have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Athlone's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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