WON

Result: Cambuur 1-0 Jong Utrecht

Cambuur

Home Side

W W W D W

4W 1D 0L

1-0

Eerste Divisie

Jong Utrecht

Away Side

L L L D D

0W 2D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Cambuur to win — Sunday, 8th March 2026

Best Odds 1.46

Confidence 62%

Implied Prob 68.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Cambuur to win

1.46

Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes80%

Implied Prob

68.5%

Based on 1.46 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-6.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Cambuur

Draws

Jong Utrecht

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Cambuur won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Cambuur

Metric

Jong Utrecht

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.6

Clean Sheet %

4-1-0

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate Comparison

80%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.1%

0-2 3.3%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 10.9%

1-2 6.0%

1-3 2.2%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 8.9%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.4%

3-1 5.9%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.4%

4-1 2.7%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.8%) 2-0 (8.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ J=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Cambuur Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Jong Utrecht Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Cambuur

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Jong Utrecht

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 58%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 22%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 44%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 16%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ EER (Sep 22, 2025): Jong Utrecht2

Cambuur4

⚽ EER (Apr 13, 2025): Cambuur3

Jong Utrecht1

⚽ EER (Sep 23, 2024): Jong Utrecht0

Cambuur4

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2024): Cambuur2

Jong Utrecht4

⚽ EER (Sep 22, 2023): Jong Utrecht3

Cambuur2

Recent Form

Cambuur

⚽ EER (Mar 3, 2026): Cambuur3

Almere City2

⚽ EER (Feb 27, 2026): Oss1

Cambuur2

⚽ EER (Feb 24, 2026): Cambuur2

Eindhoven FC1

⚽ EER (Feb 20, 2026): Cambuur1

Waalwijk1

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2026): Jong Ajax1

Cambuur2

Jong Utrecht

⚽ EER (Mar 2, 2026): FC Emmen1

Jong Utrecht0

⚽ EER (Feb 27, 2026): Jong Utrecht2

Almere City3

⚽ EER (Feb 20, 2026): De Graafschap1

Jong Utrecht0

⚽ EER (Feb 16, 2026): Jong Utrecht1

Willem II1

⚽ EER (Feb 2, 2026): Jong Utrecht2

Venlo2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Cambuur host Jong Utrecht in Eerste Divisie. We recommend Cambuur to win as the standout selection.

Cambuur arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Jong Utrecht are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cambuur, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Jong Utrecht's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cambuur to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Cambuur is currently 2nd in the Dutch second division and is in fantastic form, having won three of their last four matches. They are particularly aggressive at home and are known for being involved in high-scoring games—77% of their H2H games against Jong Utrecht have gone over 3.5 goals.

Jong Utrecht (13th) is a typical youth side: talented but inconsistent and defensively frail. They haven’t won in their last five games. Cambuur’s motivation for automatic promotion should be the deciding factor here against a side that has little to play for but development.

Form Watcher: Cambuur (W-W-D); Jong Utrecht (L-D-L).
H2H: High-scoring history.
Prediction: Cambuur Win

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Cambuur vs Jong Utrecht?

Our selection is 1 — Cambuur to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Cambuur's current form?

Cambuur have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Jong Utrecht been performing recently?

Jong Utrecht have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Cambuur lead with 3 wins versus Jong Utrecht's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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