WON

Result: Birmingham W 1-0 Sunderland W

Birmingham W

Home Side

W W L W W

6W 2D 2L

1-0

WSL 2

Sunderland W

Away Side

D W D L D

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Birmingham W to win — Wednesday, 1st April 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 58%

Implied Prob 80%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Birmingham W

Draws

Sunderland W

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Birmingham W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Birmingham W

Metric

Sunderland W

1.9

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.2

50%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-2-2

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 7.8%

0-1 7.8%

0-2 3.9%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 12.1%

1-1 12.1%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 2.0%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.4%

2-1 9.4%

2-2 4.7%

2-3 1.6%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 4.9%

3-2 2.4%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.9%

4-1 1.9%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.1%) 2-0 (9.4%) 2-1 (9.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Birmingham W Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Sunderland W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Birmingham W

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

6.3 —

Defence

7.0 —

Sunderland W

Overall

4.9 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

6.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 26%

Draw & BTTS Yes 9%

Draw & BTTS No 11%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 24%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

14.09.25

WSL2: Sunderland W1

Birmingham City1

02.02.25

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City1

08.09.24

WSL2: Birmingham City W5

Sunderland0

17.12.23

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City3

08.10.23

WSL2: Birmingham City W1

Sunderland1

22.01.23

WSL2: Birmingham City W1

Sunderland3

27.08.22

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City4

30.01.22

FAC: Birmingham City W2

Sunderland1

16.02.20

FAC: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City1

01.04.18

WSL: Birmingham City W2

Sunderland0

Recent Form

Birmingham W

14.09.25

WSL2: Sunderland W1

Birmingham City1

02.02.25

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City1

08.09.24

WSL2: Birmingham City W5

Sunderland0

17.12.23

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City3

08.10.23

WSL2: Birmingham City W1

Sunderland1

22.01.23

WSL2: Birmingham City W1

Sunderland3

27.08.22

WSL2: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City4

30.01.22

FAC: Birmingham City W2

Sunderland1

16.02.20

FAC: Sunderland W0

Birmingham City1

06.01.18

WSL: Sunderland W3

Birmingham City0

Sunderland W

29.03.26

WSL2: Sunderland W1

Newcastle Utd W1

22.03.26

WSL2: Portsmouth W0

Sunderland W1

18.03.26

WSL2: Sunderland W2

Sheffield Utd W2

15.03.26

WSL2: Charlton W1

Sunderland W0

11.03.26

WSL2: Sunderland W1

Nottingham W1

20.02.26

WSL2: Durham W2

Sunderland W3

31.01.26

WSL2: Bristol City W3

Sunderland W0

25.01.26

WSL2: Sunderland W1

Southampton W0

17.01.26

FAC: Sunderland W0

London City Lionesses W1

21.12.25

WSL2: Sunderland W2

Ipswich W1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this WSL 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Birmingham W vs Sunderland W?

Our selection is 1 — Birmingham W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 58%.

What is Birmingham W's current form?

Birmingham W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Sunderland W been performing recently?

Sunderland W have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Birmingham W lead with 7 wins versus Sunderland W's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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