WON

Result: Celik Zenica 2-1 Sloboda

Celik Zenica

Home Side

W D L W W

7W 2D 1L

2-1

Bosnia PRVA Liga - FBIH

Sloboda

Away Side

L W L W L

3W 1D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Celik Zenica to win — Wednesday, 1st April 2026

Best Odds 1.42

Confidence 51%

Implied Prob 70.4%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Celik Zenica

Draws

Sloboda

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

20%

Over 2.5

1.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Celik Zenica won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Celik Zenica

Metric

Sloboda

1.6

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.5

Goals Against / Game

1.5

50%

Clean Sheet %

10%

7-2-1

W — D — L

3-1-6

Win Rate Comparison

70%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 9.5%

0-1 7.6%

0-2 3.1%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.8%

1-1 11.8%

1-2 4.7%

1-3 1.3%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.5%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 5.9%

3-1 4.7%

3-2 1.9%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.3%

4-1 1.8%

4-2 0.7%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.8%) 2-0 (11.5%) 2-1 (9.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Celik Zenica Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Sloboda Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Celik Zenica

Overall

7.6 ▲

Scoring

5.3 ▲

Defence

8.3 ▲

Sloboda

Overall

3.3 ▼

Scoring

3.7 ▼

Defence

5.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 14%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 37%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 10%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

06.09.25

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla1

Celik Zenica1

18.05.24

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0

Celik Zenica0

21.10.23

FBiH: Celik Zenica1

Sloboda Tuzla0

07.03.20

LIG: Sloboda Tuzla2

Celik Zenica1

28.09.19

LIG: Celik Zenica0

Sloboda Tuzla0

16.03.19

LIG: Sloboda Tuzla0

Celik Zenica1

23.02.19

LIG: Celik Zenica2

Sloboda Tuzla1

14.09.18

LIG: Sloboda Tuzla1

Celik Zenica0

05.05.18

LIG: Celik Zenica0

Sloboda Tuzla2

31.03.18

LIG: Sloboda Tuzla1

Celik Zenica1

Recent Form

Celik Zenica

22.03.26

FBiH: HNK Tomislav1

Celik Zenica2

14.03.26

FBiH: Celik Zenica1

NK Travnik1

11.02.26

CUP: Celik Zenica0

FK Sarajevo1

16.11.25

FBiH: Celik Zenica1

GOSK Gabela0

08.11.25

FBiH: Igman K.1

Celik Zenica2

02.11.25

FBiH: Hadzici0

Celik Zenica1

29.10.25

CUP: Celik Zenica1

Posusje0

25.10.25

FBiH: Celik Zenica5

Tuzla City0

19.10.25

FBiH: TOSK Tesanj0

Celik Zenica0

11.10.25

FBiH: Celik Zenica3

NK Vitez1

Sloboda

22.03.26

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla2

Hadzici3

14.03.26

FBiH: Tuzla City0

Sloboda Tuzla1

16.11.25

FBiH: TOSK Tesanj1

Sloboda Tuzla0

08.11.25

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla3

NK Vitez1

02.11.25

FBiH: Jedinstvo Bihac2

Sloboda Tuzla1

29.10.25

CUP: Sloboda Tuzla0

Zeljeznicar2

26.10.25

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0

Stupcanica1

18.10.25

FBiH: Bratstvo Gracanica1

Sloboda Tuzla1

11.10.25

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla0

Banovici2

05.10.25

FBiH: Sloboda Tuzla3

Igman K.2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bosnia PRVA Liga – FBIH game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.42 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Celik Zenica vs Sloboda?

Our selection is 1 — Celik Zenica to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 51%.

What is Celik Zenica's current form?

Celik Zenica have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Sloboda been performing recently?

Sloboda have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Celik Zenica lead with 3 wins versus Sloboda's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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