WON

Result: Bahia W 3-1 America Mineiro W

Bahia W

Home Side

W W W L L

7W 0D 3L

3-1

Brasileiro Women

America Mineiro W

Away Side

D L L L L

1W 3D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Bahia W to win — Wednesday, 1st April 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 80%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Bahia W to win

1.25

Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No75%

Implied Prob

80%

Based on 1.25 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-27%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Bahia W

Draws

America Mineiro W

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Bahia W won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Bahia W

Metric

America Mineiro W

3.4

Goals For / Game

1.2

Goals Against / Game

30%

Clean Sheet %

7-0-3

W — D — L

1-3-6

Win Rate Comparison

70%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 10.0%

0-1 6.0%

0-2 1.8%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.0%

1-1 10.2%

1-2 3.1%

1-3 0.6%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 14.5%

2-1 8.7%

2-2 2.6%

2-3 0.5%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 8.2%

3-1 4.9%

3-2 1.5%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.5%

4-1 2.1%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.2%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (17.0%) 2-0 (14.5%) 2-1 (8.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Bahia W Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

America Mineiro W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Bahia W

Overall

7.0 ▲

Scoring

10.0 ▲

Defence

6.0 ▲

America Mineiro W

Overall

1.9 ▲

Scoring

0.0 ▲

Defence

10.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Home Win & BTTS No 56%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 22%

Home Win & Under 2.5 52%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 3%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

01.04.25

BA1: América-MG W1

Bahia1

Recent Form

Bahia W

28.03.26

BA1: RB Bragantino W1

Bahia W2

21.03.26

BA1: Bahia W3

Santos W1

17.03.26

BA1: Bahia W3

Vitória W2

24.02.26

BA1: São Paulo W2

Bahia W1

14.02.26

BA1: Bahia W0

Cruzeiro W2

08.11.25

BAI: Bahia W2

Vitória W0

04.11.25

COP: Ferroviária W2

Bahia W0

31.10.25

BAI: Vitória W0

Bahia W1

25.10.25

BAI: Bahia W14

Lusaca W2

18.10.25

BAI: Lusaca W0

Bahia W8

America Mineiro W

28.03.26

BA1: América-MG W1

Mixto W1

24.03.26

BA1: Corinthians W4

América-MG W0

14.03.26

BA1: América-MG W0

Juventude W1

21.02.26

BA1: América-MG W0

Internacional W2

14.02.26

BA1: Palmeiras W4

América-MG W0

22.11.25

MIN: Cruzeiro W2

América-MG W2

15.11.25

MIN: América-MG W0

Cruzeiro W4

08.11.25

MIN: América-MG W4

Atlético-MG W0

01.11.25

MIN: Atlético-MG W4

América-MG W0

18.10.25

MIN: América-MG W2

Cruzeiro W2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brasileiro Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Bahia W vs America Mineiro W?

Our selection is 1 — Bahia W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Bahia W's current form?

Bahia W have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has America Mineiro W been performing recently?

America Mineiro W have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Bahia W lead with 0 wins versus America Mineiro W's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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