WON
Result: Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Hilal
DirectWinPredict Saudi Professional League Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal
A

Al Khaleej

Home Side
W W L D L
3W 2D 5L
VS
1-2
Saudi Professional League
A
Al Hilal
Away Side
W W L W D
7W 2D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Al Hilal to win — Tuesday, 5th May 2026
Best Odds 1.21
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 82.6%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
1
Al Khaleej
0
Draws
9
Al Hilal
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Al Hilal won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Khaleej
Metric
Al Hilal
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate Comparison
30%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 8.5%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.5%
A1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.7%
A2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.8%) 0-2 (8.5%) 0-1 (7.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Al Khaleej Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hilal Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Khaleej
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
26.12.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej2
17.04.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej0
23.11.24SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Hilal2
05.04.24SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal4
20.10.23SPL
Al Hilal1
Al Khaleej0
01.04.23SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Khaleej0
25.08.22SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal2
16.02.17SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Khaleej0
20.10.16SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal6
02.04.16SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal3
Recent Form
Al Khaleej
02.05.26SPL
Damac0
Al Khaleej2
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Najma1
W
24.04.26SPL
Al Fateh1
Al Khaleej0
L
03.04.26SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
L
06.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Hazem1
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Ittihad1
Al Khaleej0
L
24.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
L
21.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Neom SC1
L
14.02.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Khaleej1
D
Al Hilal
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Al Khaleej host Al Hilal in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Khaleej arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Hilal are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Khaleej, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Al Hilal's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Al Khaleej's current form?
Al Khaleej have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Khaleej lead with 1 wins versus Al Hilal's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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