WON
Result: Liaoning Tieren 0-1 Chengdu Rongcheng
DirectWinPredict China Super League Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng
L

Liaoning Tieren

Home Side
L L L L D
3W 1D 6L
VS
0-1
China Super League
C
Chengdu Rongcheng
Away Side
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
X2
Backing Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw — Tuesday, 5th May 2026
Best Odds 1.11
Confidence 0%
Implied Prob 90.1%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
X2 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Implied Prob
90.1%
Based on 1.11 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-90.1%
Overpriced
Head to Head Record
2
Liaoning Tieren
0
Draws
2
Chengdu Rongcheng
4
Meetings
25%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Liaoning Tieren
Metric
Chengdu Rongcheng
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
30%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.5%
0-2 8.1%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 3.1%
0-5 1.3%
L1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 7.0%
1-4 3.8%
1-5 1.6%
L2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.4%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
L3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
L4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.7%) 1-1 (9.1%) 0-2 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Liaoning Tieren
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.0
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
8.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 47%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
06.08.21L1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Liaoning Tieren0
17.07.21L1
Liaoning Tieren0
Chengdu Rongcheng6
19.10.19L2
Liaoning Tieren2
Chengdu Rongcheng0
13.10.19L2
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Liaoning Tieren2
Recent Form
Liaoning Tieren
01.05.26SL
Henan Songshan Longmen4
Liaoning Tieren0
L
26.04.26SL
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Liaoning Tieren0
L
22.04.26SL
Liaoning Tieren0
Dalian Yingbo1
L
18.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Liaoning Tieren1
L
11.04.26SL
Qingdao West Coast1
Liaoning Tieren1
D
04.04.26SL
Liaoning Tieren2
Beijing Guoan1
W
21.03.26SL
Liaoning Tieren3
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0
W
14.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Liaoning Tieren0
L
07.03.26SL
Shandong Taishan3
Liaoning Tieren0
L
08.11.25L1
Liaoning Tieren5
Foshan Nanshi0
W
Chengdu Rongcheng
01.05.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
W
25.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Zhejiang Professional0
W
21.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
17.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
12.04.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
03.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast1
W
21.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
D
15.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu0
W
06.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
W
17.02.26CL
Machida3
Chengdu Rongcheng2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Liaoning Tieren host Chengdu Rongcheng in China Super League. We recommend Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw as the standout selection.

Liaoning Tieren arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Chengdu Rongcheng are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Liaoning Tieren, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Chengdu Rongcheng's 2, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this China Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is X2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.11 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Liaoning Tieren vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
Our selection is X2 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11.
What is Liaoning Tieren's current form?
Liaoning Tieren have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Chengdu Rongcheng been performing recently?
Chengdu Rongcheng have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Liaoning Tieren lead with 2 wins versus Chengdu Rongcheng's 2, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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