PP
Result:
1 — Abha to win
A
Abha
Home Side
D
D
W
W
W
3W 2D 0L
VS
—
A
Al Jubail
Away Side
W
L
W
L
L
2W 0D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Abha to win — Sunday, 8th March 2026
Best Odds
1.19
Confidence
67%
Implied Prob
84%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Abha to win
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
84%
Based on 1.19 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Abha
0
Draws
0
Al Jubail
3
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Abha won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Abha
Metric
Al Jubail
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-2-0
W — D — L
2-0-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
0-2
2.7%
0-3
0.8%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
4.9%
1-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
A2
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
1.1%
5-1
1.0%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (12.1%)
2-0 (10.9%)
2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Abha Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Al Jubail Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Home Win & BTTS No
20%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
20%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
25%
Home Win & Under 2.5
25%
Draw & Over 2.5
9%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
17%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ DIV (Nov 22, 2025): Al Jubail0
Abha3
⚽ DIV (Mar 16, 2025): Abha4
Al Jubail0
⚽ DIV (Nov 5, 2024): Al Jubail0
Abha1
Recent Form
Abha
⚽ DIV (Mar 1, 2026): Al Jandal1
Abha1
⚽ DIV (Feb 24, 2026): Abha1
Al Anwar1
⚽ DIV (Feb 20, 2026): Al Arabi1
Abha3
⚽ DIV (Feb 15, 2026): Abha2
Al Wehda1
⚽ DIV (Feb 9, 2026): Abha2
Al Zulfi0
Al Jubail
⚽ DIV (Mar 1, 2026): Al Jubail2
Al Bukiryah1
⚽ DIV (Feb 24, 2026): Al Raed1
Al Jubail0
⚽ DIV (Feb 19, 2026): Al Jubail1
Al Batin0
⚽ DIV (Feb 14, 2026): Al Taee4
Al Jubail0
⚽ DIV (Feb 9, 2026): Al Jubail2
Al Orubah3
Match Analysis
Writeup
Abha is the undisputed king of the Saudi second tier right now, sitting 1st and currently on a 22-game unbeaten streak. Their home form is imperious (9 wins, 3 draws). They score 2.15 goals per home game and are the heavy favorites to secure promotion.
Al Jubail is rock bottom (18th) and has not won a single away game all season (11 losses in 12). They struggle to score and find it almost impossible to keep clean sheets. There is a massive gulf in class here; Abha won the reverse fixture 3-0 and should have no trouble dispatching the basement dwellers.
- Form Watcher: Abha (D-D-W); Al Jubail (W-L-W).
- Must Win: Abha (Promotion push).
- Prediction: Abha Win
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Abha vs Al Jubail?
Our selection is 1 — Abha to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Abha's current form?
Abha have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Al Jubail been performing recently?
Al Jubail have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Abha lead with 3 wins versus Al Jubail's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.