WON
Result: Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Lithuania TopLygaโ€บ Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
Z

Zalgiris

Home Side
W W L L D
4W 2D 4L
VS
3-0
Lithuania TopLyga
F
FK Panevezys
Away Side
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals โ€” Tuesday, 16th June 2026
Best Odds 1.15
Confidence 87%
Implied Prob 87%
โšก Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
87%
Based on 1.15 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
0%
Fair value
Kelly Stake %
0.3%
Suggested % of bankroll
โš” Head to Head Record
5
Zalgiris
1
Draws
4
FK Panevezys
10
Meetings
90%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
3.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Zalgiris
Metric
FK Panevezys
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-2-4
W โ€” D โ€” L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
50%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
Z0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 6.3%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
Z1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
Z2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
Z3
3-0 2.6%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (12.1%) 0-1 (9.0%) 1-0 (8.6%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท Z=Home goals โ†“   F=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Zalgiris
Overall
4.6 โ€”
Scoring
5.0 โ€”
Defence
5.7 โ€”
FK Panevezys
Overall
5.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
5.0 โ–ผ
Defence
6.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
27.02.26TL
Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys1
08.11.25TL
FK Panevezys3
Zalgiris1
31.08.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
29.06.25TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris4
25.04.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys3
03.11.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys4
11.08.24TL
FK Panevezys0
Zalgiris0
16.06.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
06.05.24CUP
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
Recent Form
Zalgiris
12.06.26TL
Zalgiris3
Riteriai2
W
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris0
Zalgiris1
W
24.05.26TL
Zalgiris1
Hegelmann3
L
17.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Zalgiris0
L
10.05.26TL
Suduva1
Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
W
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
L
26.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai0
Zalgiris3
W
21.04.26CUP
Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
L
17.04.26TL
Zalgiris1
Banga1
D
FK Panevezys
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Transinvest2
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai4
FK Panevezys0
L
24.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Banga0
W
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai0
FK Panevezys3
W
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Kauno Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Hegelmann3
FK Panevezys2
L
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
W
29.04.26CUP
FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
W
25.04.26TL
Suduva1
FK Panevezys0
L
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Zalgiris host FK Panevezys in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Zalgiris arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania TopLyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.15 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?
Our selection is Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Zalgiris's current form?
Zalgiris have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Panevezys been performing recently?
FK Panevezys have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalgiris lead with 5 wins versus FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
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