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Result: Wolves 2-1 Liverpool
DirectWinPredict Premier League Wolves vs Liverpool
W

Wolves

Home Side
W L D W D
0W 1D 1L
VS
2-1
Premier League
L
Liverpool
Away Side
W W W W L
2W 0D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Liverpool to win — Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Best Odds 1.53
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 65.4%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Liverpool to win
1.53
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
Implied Prob
65.4%
Based on 1.53 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-2.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Wolves
3
Draws
2
Liverpool
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Liverpool won 2 of 5 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Wolves
Metric
Liverpool
0
Goals For / Game
1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0
50%
Clean Sheet %
100%
0-1-1
W — D — L
2-0-0
Win Rate Comparison
0%
100%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
W0
0-0 38.7%
0-1 29.0%
0-2 10.9%
0-3 2.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 5.8%
1-2 2.2%
1-3 0.5%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
W2
2-0 0.8%
2-1 0.6%
2-2 0.2%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
W3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
W4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (29.0%) 0-2 (10.9%) 0-3 (2.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · W=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Wolves Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Liverpool Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Wolves
Overall
1.5
Scoring
0.0
Defence
8.3
Liverpool
Overall
10.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 80%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 80%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.12.25
: LIV2
WOL1
16.02.25
: LIV2
WOL1
28.09.24
: WOL1
LIV2
19.05.24
: LIV2
WOL0
16.09.23
: WOL1
LIV3
Recent Form
Wolves
27.02.26
: WOL2
AVL0
22.02.26
: CRY1
WOL0
18.02.26
: WOL2
ARS2
15.02.26
: GRI0
WOL - CUP1
11.02.26
: NOT0
WOL0
Liverpool
28.02.26
: LIV5
WHU2
22.02.26
: NOT0
LIV1
14.02.26
: LIV3
BHA - CUP0
11.02.26
: SUN0
LIV1
08.02.26
: LIV1
MCI2
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, Wolves host Liverpool in Premier League. We recommend Liverpool to win as the standout selection.

Wolves arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 2 outings.

Liverpool are travelling well, with a record of 2W 0D 0L across 2 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wolves, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Liverpool's 2, with 3 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: liverpool to win at odds of 1.53 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wolves vs Liverpool?
Our selection is 2 — Liverpool to win, priced at approximately 1.53. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Wolves's current form?
Wolves have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches.
How has Liverpool been performing recently?
Liverpool have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 2 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wolves lead with 0 wins versus Liverpool's 2, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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