WON
Result: Vipers SC 3 - 0 Lugazi
DirectWinPredict Uganda Premier League Vipers SC vs Lugazi
V

Vipers SC

Home Side
D D W W W
1W 1D 0L
VS
3 - 0
Uganda Premier League
L
Lugazi
Away Side
W L D W L
0W 2D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Vipers SC to win — Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 52%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Vipers SC
2
Draws
0
Lugazi
3
Meetings
33%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
1.3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Vipers SC won 1 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Vipers SC
Metric
Lugazi
2
Goals For / Game
0.3
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.7
50%
Clean Sheet %
67%
1-1-0
W — D — L
0-2-1
Win Rate Comparison
50%
0%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
V0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 23.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 1.9%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
V2
2-0 15.8%
2-1 6.3%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
V3
3-0 7.1%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (23.5%) 2-0 (15.8%) 3-0 (7.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Vipers SC Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Lugazi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Vipers SC
Overall
6.5
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.3
Lugazi
Overall
2.0
Scoring
1.1
Defence
7.8
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 22%
Draw & Under 2.5 33%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.12.25
: LUG1
VIP2
03.04.25
: VIP1
LUG0
26.09.24
: LUG0
VIP0
Recent Form
Vipers SC
17.02.26
: VIP1
NEC1
13.02.26
: BUL1
VIP1
30.01.26
: VIP4
BUH0
27.01.26
: VIP4
POL1
24.01.26
: URA0
VIP3
Lugazi
18.02.26
: LUG1
UPD0
12.02.26
: POL2
LUG1
31.01.26
: VIL0
LUG0
27.01.26
: LUG2
BUL1
24.01.26
: MBA0
LUG0
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, Vipers SC host Lugazi in Uganda Premier League. We recommend Vipers SC to win as the standout selection.

Vipers SC arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 2 outings.

Lugazi are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 1L across 3 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vipers SC, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Lugazi's 0, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vipers sc to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vipers SC vs Lugazi?
Our selection is 1 — Vipers SC to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Vipers SC's current form?
Vipers SC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches.
How has Lugazi been performing recently?
Lugazi have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 3 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vipers SC lead with 1 wins versus Lugazi's 0, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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