WON
Result: Vukovar 1991 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb
DirectWinPredict Croatia HNL Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb
V

Vukovar 1991

Home Side
D L L L L
1W 3D 6L
VS
1-4
Croatia HNL
D
Dinamo Zagreb
Away Side
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 13th April 2026
Best Odds 1.44
Confidence 78%
Implied Prob 69.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.44
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+8.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
28%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Vukovar 1991
1
Draws
4
Dinamo Zagreb
6
Meetings
17%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 67% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Vukovar 1991
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
0.8
Goals For / Game
3.9
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
10%
Clean Sheet %
40%
1-3-6
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
10%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
V0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 7.5%
0-3 7.5%
0-4 5.6%
0-5 3.4%
V1
1-0 1.8%
1-1 5.5%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 8.2%
1-4 6.2%
1-5 3.7%
V2
2-0 1.0%
2-1 3.0%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 3.4%
2-5 2.0%
V3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.7%
V4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.2%
V5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (8.2%) 1-3 (8.2%) 0-2 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Vukovar 1991
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.0
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
8.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 3%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 51%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.02.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb3
Vukovar 19911
27.10.25
HNL: Vukovar 19911
Dinamo Zagreb0
08.08.25
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb3
Vukovar 19910
07.04.00
HNL: Vukovar 19910
Dinamo Zagreb3
19.02.00
HNL: Vukovar 19910
Dinamo Zagreb0
16.09.99
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb5
Vukovar 19910
Recent Form
Vukovar 1991
07.04.26
HNL: Vukovar 19911
Lokomotiva Zagreb1
D
21.03.26
HNL: Vukovar 19910
Hajduk Split6
L
13.03.26
HNL: NK Varaždin2
Vukovar 19910
L
08.03.26
HNL: Vukovar 19910
HNK Rijeka1
L
28.02.26
HNL: NK Osijek2
Vukovar 19910
L
20.02.26
HNL: Vukovar 19912
Slaven Belupo2
D
15.02.26
HNL: HNK Gorica0
Vukovar 19910
D
07.02.26
HNL: Vukovar 19913
NK Istra 19612
W
02.02.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb3
Vukovar 19911
L
24.01.26
HNL: Lokomotiva Zagreb2
Vukovar 19911
L
Dinamo Zagreb
08.04.26
Croatian Cup (QF): HNK Gorica3
Dinamo Zagreb6
W
04.04.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb7
NK Osijek0
W
21.03.26
HNL: Lokomotiva Zagreb0
Dinamo Zagreb5
W
14.03.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb4
Slaven Belupo2
W
08.03.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Dinamo Zagreb3
W
04.03.26
Croatian Cup (R16): Dinamo Zagreb2
Kurilovec0
W
01.03.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb4
HNK Gorica2
W
26.02.26
Europa League: KRC Genk3
Dinamo Zagreb3
D
22.02.26
HNL: NK Varaždin0
Dinamo Zagreb4
W
19.02.26
Europa League: Dinamo Zagreb1
KRC Genk3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Croatia HNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.44 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Vukovar 1991's current form?
Vukovar 1991 have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dinamo Zagreb been performing recently?
Dinamo Zagreb have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vukovar 1991 lead with 1 wins versus Dinamo Zagreb's 4, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
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