WON
Result: Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
DirectWinPredict Eerste Divisie Jong Ajax vs Oss
J

Jong Ajax

Home Side
L L L W W
1W 2D 5L
VS
1-2
Eerste Divisie
O
Oss
Away Side
W L W D L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 13th April 2026
Best Odds 1.45
Confidence 72%
Implied Prob 69%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.45
Under 2.5 Goals94% BTTS — No93%
Implied Prob
69%
Based on 1.45 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+3%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
9.8%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Jong Ajax
4
Draws
4
Oss
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Against Pick Over 2.5 in 40% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Jong Ajax
Metric
Oss
0.3
Goals For / Game
0
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0
13%
Clean Sheet %
0%
1-2-5
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
13%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
J0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
J1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
J2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
J3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
J4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-0 (67.0%) 0-1 (13.4%) 1-0 (13.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · J=Home goals ↓   O=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Jong Ajax
Overall
2.0
Scoring
0.8
Defence
8.8
Oss
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 54%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 1%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 54%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.10.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss1
09.05.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
TOP Oss0
13.12.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
Jong Ajax1
16.02.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
Jong Ajax1
24.11.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss0
06.03.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
TOP Oss2
09.09.22
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
Jong Ajax1
04.04.22
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax4
TOP Oss1
10.12.21
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
Jong Ajax1
09.04.21
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
TOP Oss1
Recent Form
Jong Ajax
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Telstar3
TOP Oss1
L
30.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss0
Jong PSV0
D
23.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Helmond Sport2
TOP Oss1
L
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss2
ADO Den Haag1
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: MVV Maastricht3
TOP Oss1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss1
FC Den Bosch1
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen2
TOP Oss1
L
13.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss3
Jong AZ2
W
Oss
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Vitesse6
Jong Ajax1
L
03.04.26
Eerste Divisie: ADO Den Haag4
Jong Ajax2
L
20.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax0
Almere City2
L
17.03.26
Eerste Divisie: VVV-Venlo0
Jong Ajax1
W
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax3
FC Den Bosch2
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Eindhoven2
Jong Ajax1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax5
Helmond Sport1
W
23.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen0
Jong Ajax0
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Dordrecht0
Jong Ajax1
W
16.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax1
SC Cambuur2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 13th April 2026, Jong Ajax host Oss in Eerste Divisie. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Jong Ajax arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 8 outings.

Oss are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Jong Ajax, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Oss's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Eerste Divisie game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.45 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jong Ajax vs Oss?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Jong Ajax's current form?
Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches.
How has Oss been performing recently?
Oss have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Jong Ajax lead with 2 wins versus Oss's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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