PENDING

Result: 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home Side

W W W W D

7W 1D 2L

—

Iceland Besta deild karla

Thor Akureyri

Away Side

L L W L W

6W 0D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win — Friday, 8th May 2026

Best Odds 1.22

Confidence 59%

Implied Prob 82%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win

1.22

Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

82%

Based on 1.22 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-23%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Vikingur Reykjavik

Draws

Thor Akureyri

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Vikingur Reykjavik won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Vikingur Reykjavik

Metric

Thor Akureyri

2.4

Goals For / Game

2.1

Goals Against / Game

1.9

30%

Clean Sheet %

30%

7-1-2

W — D — L

6-0-4

Win Rate Comparison

70%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 3.8%

0-2 3.0%

0-3 1.5%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 5.3%

1-1 8.2%

1-2 6.4%

1-3 3.3%

1-4 1.3%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 5.7%

2-1 8.9%

2-2 6.9%

2-3 3.6%

2-4 1.4%

2-5 0.4%

3-0 4.1%

3-1 6.4%

3-2 4.9%

3-3 2.5%

3-4 1.0%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 3.4%

4-2 2.6%

4-3 1.4%

4-4 0.5%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.5%

5-2 1.1%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.9%) 3-1 (6.4%) 2-0 (5.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Vikingur Reykjavik Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Thor Akureyri Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Vikingur Reykjavik

Overall

7.3 ▲

Scoring

8.0 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

Thor Akureyri

Overall

6.0 ▲

Scoring

7.0 ▲

Defence

3.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%

Home Win & BTTS No 26%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 2%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Away Win & BTTS No 22%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 34%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 1%

Away Win & Over 2.5 29%

Away Win & Under 2.5 15%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

05.06.23CUP

Thor Akureyri1

Vikingur Reykjavik2

12.03.21CUP

Thor Akureyri0

Vikingur Reykjavik5

31.08.14BK

Thor Akureyri0

Vikingur Reykjavik1

09.06.14BK

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Thor Akureyri2

01.09.12D1

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Thor Akureyri3

29.06.12D1

Thor Akureyri0

Vikingur Reykjavik2

24.07.11BK

Thor Akureyri6

Vikingur Reykjavik1

20.06.11CUP

Thor Akureyri3

Vikingur Reykjavik1

03.05.11BK

Vikingur Reykjavik2

Thor Akureyri0

07.08.10D1

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Thor Akureyri1

Recent Form

Vikingur Reykjavik

03.05.26BK

Keflavik1

Vikingur Reykjavik3

27.04.26BK

Vikingur Reykjavik4

Akranes0

23.04.26BK

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Stjarnan2

17.04.26BK

KA Akureyri0

Vikingur Reykjavik2

10.04.26BK

Vikingur Reykjavik1

Breidablik1

04.04.26CUP

Fram2

Vikingur Reykjavik4

29.03.26SC

Vikingur Reykjavik4

Vestri0

04.03.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik2

IR Reykjavik0

25.02.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Throttur1

19.02.26CUP

Vikingur Reykjavik1

KR Reykjavik0

Thor Akureyri

02.05.26BK

Thor Akureyri0

KA Akureyri1

27.04.26BK

Breidablik4

Thor Akureyri0

23.04.26BK

Thor Akureyri1

Fram0

17.04.26BK

KR Reykjavik5

Thor Akureyri2

12.04.26BK

Valur1

Thor Akureyri2

04.04.26CUP

Thor Akureyri2

Hafnarfjordur4

17.03.26CUP

Thor Akureyri0

Fylkir2

10.03.26CUP

Thor Akureyri5

Valur1

04.03.26CF

Thor Akureyri3

Moss2

25.02.26CUP

Afturelding0

Thor Akureyri5

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iceland Besta deild karla game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 59%.

What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?

Vikingur Reykjavik have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Thor Akureyri been performing recently?

Thor Akureyri have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 6 wins versus Thor Akureyri's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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