PENDING
Result: 2 — KR Reykjavik to win
DirectWinPredict Iceland Besta deild karla Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
T

Thor Akureyri

Home Side
L D L L L
2W 1D 7L
VS
6:00 pm
Iceland Besta deild karla
K
KR Reykjavik
Away Side
L W L W W
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing KR Reykjavik to win — Saturday, 7th February 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — KR Reykjavik to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-18.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Thor Akureyri
0
Draws
8
KR Reykjavik
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick KR Reykjavik won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Thor Akureyri
Metric
KR Reykjavik
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.8
2.5
Goals Against / Game
2.5
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
2-1-7
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
20%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
T0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 3.6%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 2.8%
0-5 1.5%
T1
1-0 2.2%
1-1 5.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 4.6%
1-5 2.4%
T2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.9%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 5.7%
2-4 3.8%
2-5 2.0%
T3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 3.2%
3-4 2.1%
3-5 1.1%
T4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.5%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.2%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (7.9%) 1-3 (6.9%) 2-3 (5.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Thor Akureyri Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
KR Reykjavik Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Thor Akureyri
Overall
2.3
Scoring
2.7
Defence
1.7
KR Reykjavik
Overall
5.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
1.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 47%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
Thor Akureyri2
02.03.24CUP
Thor Akureyri4
KR Reykjavik0
27.02.21CUP
Thor Akureyri0
KR Reykjavik4
09.04.17CUP
KR Reykjavik4
Thor Akureyri1
04.10.14BK
KR Reykjavik4
Thor Akureyri1
10.07.14BK
Thor Akureyri2
KR Reykjavik0
07.08.13BK
Thor Akureyri1
KR Reykjavik3
16.05.13BK
KR Reykjavik3
Thor Akureyri0
16.03.13CUP
KR Reykjavik8
Thor Akureyri0
18.08.11BK
Thor Akureyri1
KR Reykjavik2
Recent Form
Thor Akureyri
28.06.26BK
Thor Akureyri2
Valur4
L
21.06.26BK
Hafnarfjordur1
Thor Akureyri1
D
14.06.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Vestmannaeyjar4
L
31.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Stjarnan3
L
22.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Thor Akureyri0
L
17.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Akranes2
L
08.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thor Akureyri0
L
02.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri0
KA Akureyri1
L
27.04.26BK
Breidablik4
Thor Akureyri0
L
23.04.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Fram0
W
KR Reykjavik
28.06.26BK
Keflavik3
KR Reykjavik2
L
22.06.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
Akranes3
W
16.06.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
L
31.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
KA Akureyri3
W
26.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Valur1
W
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
L
17.05.26BK
KR Reykjavik2
Fram2
D
13.05.26CUP
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik1
L
08.05.26BK
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik3
W
02.05.26BK
Valur1
KR Reykjavik4
W
Thor Akureyri (Home)
28.06.26BK
Thor Akureyri2
Valur4
L
14.06.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Vestmannaeyjar4
L
31.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Stjarnan3
L
17.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Akranes2
L
02.05.26BK
Thor Akureyri0
KA Akureyri1
L
23.04.26BK
Thor Akureyri1
Fram0
W
04.04.26CUP
Thor Akureyri2
Hafnarfjordur4
L
17.03.26CUP
Thor Akureyri0
Fylkir2
L
10.03.26CUP
Thor Akureyri5
Valur1
W
04.03.26CF
Thor Akureyri3
Moss2
W
KR Reykjavik (Away)
28.06.26BK
Keflavik3
KR Reykjavik2
L
16.06.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
KR Reykjavik0
L
22.05.26BK
Breidablik6
KR Reykjavik3
L
13.05.26CUP
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik1
L
08.05.26BK
Stjarnan2
KR Reykjavik3
W
02.05.26BK
Valur1
KR Reykjavik4
W
23.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar2
KR Reykjavik6
W
21.03.26CUP
Fylkir4
KR Reykjavik4
L
14.03.26CUP
Stjarnan0
KR Reykjavik4
W
19.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Thor Akureyri host KR Reykjavik at Thorsvollur (Akureyri) in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend KR Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.

Thor Akureyri arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

KR Reykjavik are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Thor Akureyri, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to KR Reykjavik's 8, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kr reykjavik to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Iceland Besta deild karla preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Thorsvollur (Akureyri), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.31, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 6:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?
Our selection is 2 — KR Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Thor Akureyri's current form?
Thor Akureyri have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has KR Reykjavik been performing recently?
KR Reykjavik have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Thor Akureyri lead with 2 wins versus KR Reykjavik's 8, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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