PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Estonia Meistriliiga Kuressaare vs Flora
K

Kuressaare

Home Side
L D W D W
2W 2D 6L
VS
5:00 pm
Estonia Meistriliiga
F
Flora
Away Side
W L W L W
8W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Saturday, 7th February 2026
Best Odds 0.98
Confidence 74%
Head to Head Record
0
Kuressaare
1
Draws
9
Flora
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kuressaare
Metric
Flora
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
2-2-6
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
20%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 12.8%
0-2 12.1%
0-3 7.7%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.4%
K1
1-0 5.4%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 2.9%
1-5 1.1%
K2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (12.8%) 0-2 (12.1%) 1-1 (10.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kuressaare
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.7
Flora
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
07.04.26ML
Flora2
Kuressaare1
01.11.25ML
Flora2
Kuressaare0
24.08.25ML
Kuressaare1
Flora2
27.05.25ML
Kuressaare1
Flora3
29.03.25ML
Flora5
Kuressaare0
26.10.24ML
Flora3
Kuressaare0
14.09.24ML
Kuressaare3
Flora4
21.05.24ML
Flora1
Kuressaare0
27.04.24ML
Kuressaare2
Flora2
07.10.23ML
Flora3
Kuressaare0
Recent Form
Kuressaare
26.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare0
L
16.06.26ML
Kuressaare0
Narva0
D
13.06.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare3
W
31.05.26ML
Paide1
Kuressaare1
D
20.05.26ML
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
L
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
L
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
L
25.04.26ML
Nomme Utd2
Kuressaare1
L
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
Flora
28.06.26ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
21.06.26ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
13.06.26ML
Flora1
Levadia3
L
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
W
05.05.26CUP
Flora1
Narva0
W
30.04.26ML
Flora5
Harju JK Laagri0
W
Kuressaare (Home)
16.06.26ML
Kuressaare0
Narva0
D
20.05.26ML
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
L
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
L
21.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
L
11.04.26ML
Kuressaare3
Harju JK Laagri2
W
03.04.26ML
Kuressaare0
Paide1
L
14.03.26ML
Kuressaare3
Tammeka2
W
21.02.26CF
Kuressaare2
Narva2
D
14.02.26CF
Kuressaare2
Tallinna Kalev0
W
Flora (Away)
28.06.26ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
W
26.04.26ML
Paide1
Flora2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
L
03.04.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
22.03.26ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Kuressaare host Flora at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Kuressaare arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Flora are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kuressaare, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Flora's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 0.98 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Estonia Meistriliiga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @0.98, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kuressaare vs Flora?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 0.98. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Kuressaare's current form?
Kuressaare have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kuressaare lead with 0 wins versus Flora's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.