WON
Result: Suduva 5-0 Riteriai
DirectWinPredict Lithuania TopLyga Suduva vs Riteriai
S

Suduva

Home Side
D D L W D
4W 5D 1L
VS
5-0
Lithuania TopLyga
R
Riteriai
Away Side
D L L L L
2W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Suduva to win — Friday, 3rd April 2026
Best Odds 1.35
Confidence 34%
Implied Prob 74.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Suduva to win
1.35
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
74.1%
Based on 1.35 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-40.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Suduva
8
Draws
2
Riteriai
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Against Pick Suduva won 0 of the last 10 meetings (8 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Suduva
Metric
Riteriai
0
Goals For / Game
0.9
0
Goals Against / Game
2.3
0%
Clean Sheet %
0%
4-5-1
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
40%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 23.2%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 2.4%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (23.2%) 2-0 (13.4%) 2-1 (6.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Suduva Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Riteriai Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Suduva
Overall
5.5
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Riteriai
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 22%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.10.25
A Lyga: Riteriai0
Sūduva0
20.07.25
A Lyga: Sūduva0
Riteriai0
01.06.25
A Lyga: Sūduva4
Riteriai1
01.03.25
A Lyga: Riteriai3
Sūduva4
12.11.23
A Lyga: Sūduva0
Riteriai3
18.08.23
A Lyga: Riteriai1
Sūduva2
10.06.23
A Lyga: Sūduva0
Riteriai0
18.04.23
A Lyga: Riteriai1
Sūduva0
09.10.22
A Lyga: Riteriai2
Sūduva3
21.08.22
A Lyga: Sūduva2
Riteriai1
Recent Form
Suduva
21.03.26
A Lyga: Kauno Žalgiris1
Sūduva1
D
14.03.26
A Lyga: Sūduva0
Hegelmann0
D
10.03.26
A Lyga: Žalgiris1
Sūduva0
L
07.03.26
A Lyga: Sūduva2
TransINVEST0
W
01.03.26
A Lyga: Sūduva0
Šiauliai FA0
D
22.02.26
A Lyga: FK Panevėžys0
Sūduva0
D
14.02.26
Friendly: Sūduva5
BFC Daugavpils3
W
07.02.26
Friendly: Sūduva3
Suwalki2
W
31.01.26
Friendly: Sūduva1
BE1 NFA0
W
24.01.26
Friendly: Sūduva1
Grobiņa1
D
Riteriai
20.03.26
A Lyga: Riteriai1
Šiauliai FA1
D
15.03.26
A Lyga: FK Panevėžys2
Riteriai1
L
11.03.26
A Lyga: Riteriai0
Džiugas Telšiai2
L
08.03.26
A Lyga: Banga Gargždai5
Riteriai0
L
01.03.26
A Lyga: TransINVEST3
Riteriai0
L
23.02.26
A Lyga: Riteriai1
Kauno Žalgiris2
L
07.02.26
Friendly: TransINVEST4
Riteriai0
L
28.01.26
Friendly: Riteriai2
BFC Daugavpils1
W
10.01.26
Friendly: Riteriai2
Banga Gargždai2
D
22.11.25
A Lyga: Riteriai2
Neptūnas1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 3rd April 2026, Suduva host Riteriai in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend Suduva to win as the standout selection.

Suduva arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Riteriai are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Suduva, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Riteriai's 2, with 8 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: suduva to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Lithuania TopLyga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.35 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Suduva vs Riteriai?
Our selection is 1 — Suduva to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Suduva's current form?
Suduva have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Riteriai been performing recently?
Riteriai have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Suduva lead with 0 wins versus Riteriai's 2, with 8 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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