WON

Result: Stoke City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday

Stoke City

Home Side

L W D L L

2W 3D 5L

2-0

England Championship

Sheffield Wednesday

Away Side

L L D L L

0W 1D 9L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Stoke City to win — Friday, 3rd April 2026

Best Odds 1.27

Confidence 43%

Implied Prob 78.7%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Stoke City to win

1.27

Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

78.7%

Based on 1.27 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-35.7%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Stoke City

Draws

Sheffield Wednesday

Meetings

20%

BTTS Rate

20%

Over 2.5

1.7

Avg Goals

Against Pick Stoke City won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Stoke City

Metric

Sheffield Wednesday

1.3

Goals For / Game

0.6

1.7

Goals Against / Game

2.2

10%

Clean Sheet %

2-3-5

W — D — L

0-1-9

Win Rate Comparison

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.3%

0-2 3.6%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.6%

1-1 11.1%

1-2 6.4%

1-3 2.4%

1-4 0.7%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.4%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 5.6%

2-3 2.1%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.3%

3-3 1.3%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 1.4%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (9.6%) 2-0 (8.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ S=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Stoke City Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Sheffield Wednesday Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Stoke City

Overall

2.9 —

Scoring

4.3 —

Defence

4.3 —

Sheffield Wednesday

Overall

0.3 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

2.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 33%

Draw & BTTS No 18%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 33%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 33%

Draw & Under 2.5 18%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

16.08.25

Championship: Sheffield Wed0

Stoke City3

18.04.25

Championship: Stoke City2

Sheffield Wed0

21.12.24

Championship: Sheffield Wed2

Stoke City0

13.04.24

Championship: Sheffield Wed1

Stoke City1

09.12.23

Championship: Stoke City0

Sheffield Wed1

16.02.21

Championship: Stoke City1

Sheffield Wed0

28.11.20

Championship: Sheffield Wed0

Stoke City0

26.12.19

Championship: Stoke City3

Sheffield Wed2

22.10.19

Championship: Sheffield Wed1

Stoke City0

30.03.19

Championship: Stoke City0

Sheffield Wed0

Recent Form

Stoke City

20.03.26

Championship: Preston North End3

Stoke City1

14.03.26

Championship: Stoke City3

Watford1

10.03.26

Championship: Stoke City3

Ipswich Town3

07.03.26

Championship: Swansea City2

Stoke City0

28.02.26

Championship: Coventry City2

Stoke City1

25.02.26

Championship: Stoke City2

Oxford United1

21.02.26

Championship: Stoke City2

Leicester City2

15.02.26

FA Cup: Stoke City1

Fulham2

11.02.26

Championship: Charlton1

Stoke City0

07.02.26

Championship: West Brom0

Stoke City0

Sheffield Wednesday

21.03.26

CHA: Hull City3

Sheffield Wed1

14.03.26

CHA: Sheffield Wed0

Ipswich Town2

10.03.26

CHA: Sheffield Wed1

Watford1

07.03.26

CHA: Derby County2

Sheffield Wed1

28.02.26

CHA: Sheffield Wed1

Southampton3

25.02.26

CHA: Norwich City2

Sheffield Wed0

22.02.26

CHA: Sheffield Utd2

Sheffield Wed1

14.02.26

CHA: Sheffield Wed1

Millwall2

08.02.26

CHA: Swansea City4

Sheffield Wed0

03.02.26

CHA: Blackburn Rovers1

Sheffield Wed0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this England Championship game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.27 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Our selection is 1 — Stoke City to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 43%.

What is Stoke City's current form?

Stoke City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has Sheffield Wednesday been performing recently?

Sheffield Wednesday have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Stoke City lead with 4 wins versus Sheffield Wednesday's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.

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