WON
Result: Stromsgodset 6-1 Raufoss
DirectWinPredict Norway OBOS-Ligaen Stromsgodset vs Raufoss
S

Stromsgodset

Home Side
W W D W W
7W 2D 1L
VS
6-1
Norway OBOS-Ligaen
R
Raufoss
Away Side
L L W W L
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Stromsgodset to win — Sunday, 14th June 2026
Best Odds 1.23
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 81.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Stromsgodset to win
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
81.3%
Based on 1.23 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Stromsgodset
2
Draws
4
Raufoss
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.7
Avg Goals
Against Pick Stromsgodset won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Stromsgodset
Metric
Raufoss
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (8.3%) 3-1 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   R=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Stromsgodset Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Raufoss Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Stromsgodset
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Raufoss
Overall
2.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.02.23CF
Stromsgodset2
Raufoss0
12.03.22NMC
Raufoss1
Stromsgodset (pen 5-6)1
23.02.22CF
Stromsgodset3
Raufoss1
09.06.20CF
Stromsgodset3
Raufoss0
19.05.10NMC
Raufoss0
Stromsgodset1
03.10.04OBO
Raufoss1
Stromsgodset0
13.06.04OBO
Stromsgodset1
Raufoss2
01.11.03OBO
Stromsgodset1
Raufoss2
06.07.03OBO
Raufoss2
Stromsgodset2
07.07.02OBO
Raufoss3
Stromsgodset1
Recent Form
Stromsgodset
31.05.26OBO
Egersund0
Stromsgodset5
W
25.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset1
Bryne0
W
20.05.26OBO
Moss1
Stromsgodset1
D
16.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset5
Ranheim4
W
10.05.26OBO
Asane0
Stromsgodset3
W
01.05.26OBO
Stromsgodset3
Strommen0
W
26.04.26OBO
Sandnes1
Stromsgodset1
D
18.04.26OBO
Stromsgodset3
Sogndal0
W
11.04.26OBO
Haugesund4
Stromsgodset2
L
05.04.26OBO
Stromsgodset2
Stabaek1
W
Raufoss
31.05.26OBO
Raufoss3
Haugesund4
L
25.05.26OBO
Asane3
Raufoss0
L
20.05.26OBO
Raufoss3
Bryne0
W
16.05.26OBO
Stabaek1
Raufoss2
W
10.05.26OBO
Raufoss0
Lyn1
L
06.05.26OBO
Egersund2
Raufoss1
L
01.05.26OBO
Odd1
Raufoss0
L
26.04.26OBO
Raufoss1
Hodd1
D
17.04.26OBO
Ranheim5
Raufoss1
L
13.04.26OBO
Raufoss1
Kongsvinger3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 14th June 2026, Stromsgodset host Raufoss in Norway OBOS-Ligaen. We recommend Stromsgodset to win as the standout selection.

Stromsgodset arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Raufoss are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Stromsgodset, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Raufoss's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: stromsgodset to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Norway OBOS-Ligaen game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.23 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stromsgodset vs Raufoss?
Our selection is 1 — Stromsgodset to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Stromsgodset's current form?
Stromsgodset have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Raufoss been performing recently?
Raufoss have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stromsgodset lead with 4 wins versus Raufoss's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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