WON
Result: Simba 2-1 Pamba
DirectWinPredict Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Simba vs Pamba
S

Simba

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
2-1
Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara
P
Pamba
Away Side
L W L D L
2W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Simba to win — Sunday, 14th June 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 71%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.18
BTTS — No65% Simba Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Simba
1
Draws
0
Pamba
3
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Simba won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Simba
Metric
Pamba
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
9-1-0
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
90%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 1.1%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 15.2%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 2.3%
1-3 0.4%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 15.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 10.7%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 5.5%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 2.2%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (15.6%) 1-0 (15.2%) 3-0 (10.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Simba Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Pamba Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Simba
Overall
9.3
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.3
Pamba
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
19.03.26LKB
Pamba1
Simba1
08.05.25LKB
Simba5
Pamba1
22.11.24LKB
Pamba0
Simba1
Recent Form
Simba
24.05.26LKB
Simba1
Dodoma Jiji0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
W
17.05.26FAC
Simba4
TRA United0
W
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Simba3
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba4
Tanzania Prisons0
W
06.05.26LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Simba3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
Pamba
26.05.26LKB
Pamba2
Tanzania Prisons3
L
20.05.26LKB
Kinondoni MC0
Pamba1
W
14.05.26LKB
Azam2
Pamba0
L
10.05.26LKB
Pamba0
Dodoma Jiji0
D
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
L
30.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate1
Pamba2
W
17.04.26LKB
TRA United1
Pamba0
L
11.04.26FAC
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
L
08.04.26LKB
Pamba0
Young Africans3
L
04.04.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Pamba0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 14th June 2026, Simba host Pamba in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Simba to win as the standout selection.

Simba arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pamba are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Simba, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Pamba's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: simba to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs Pamba?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pamba been performing recently?
Pamba have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 2 wins versus Pamba's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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